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Data-driven stock valuation

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock HUF 2,309, price HUF 3,560, that is 35.1% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities HU

AE ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.

ALTEO · BUD
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +41% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +30.2 %/yr in HUF)
Loss over the last twelve months · -0.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 2.0%
Moderate debt
Some data
Fair value 2,309 HUF · Strongly overvalued
Quality 36/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 31/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

6,620 HUF 1,111 HUF Fair Value 2,309 HUF Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,111 HUF – 6,620 HUF · fair‑value band 1,732 HUF – 2,887 HUF · the 3,560 HUF price screens above the 2,309 HUF fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

ALTEO Energy Services produces and sells electricity and heat in Hungary. The company operates through the Heat and Electricity Production and Management; Renewables-Based Energy Production; Energy Services; Circular Economy Management; Retail Energy Trade; and Other segments.

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It also engages in the retail trade of electricity and gas; operation and maintenance of energy generating assets and construction-installation activities; planning and management of the electricity production and heat generation and storage facilities; wholesale of waste and scrap; and production of renewable energy from solar, wind, and hydropower plants, as well as through biogas.

In addition, the company offers waste management, collection, recovery, and sale of organic and inorganic waste services; ancillary and recycling services; renewable production management services; business and other consultancy services; non-hazardous waste treatment and disposal services; and desalinated water production, e-mobility, and asset management services.

The company was formerly known as ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyilvanosan Mukodo Reszvenytarsasag and changed its name to ALTEO Energy Services in June 2021. ALTEO Energy Services was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Budapest, Hungary.

Stock analysis

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) currently trades at 3,560 HUF, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,309 HUF, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,835 HUF per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the 3,560 HUF price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 559.24 HUF, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 1,732 HUF (bear) to 2,887 HUF (bull), the price of 3,560 HUF sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. reported revenue of 123B HUF in FY2025 versus 44.2B HUF in FY2021, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5B HUF in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 70.1B HUF (≈ $216M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) −10.73 HUF · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −35%, ALTEO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,732 HUF Fair Value 2,309 HUF Bull 2,887 HUF
Price 3,560 HUF · Downside -35.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 1,375 HUF 1,339 HUF 1,398 HUF 76
EPV 462.94 HUF 715.07 HUF 916.89 HUF 73
ROIC Compounder 462.94 HUF 715.07 HUF 916.89 HUF 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 872.47 HUF 6,084 HUF 8,539 HUF 63
Lynch FV 2,206 HUF 3,151 HUF 4,097 HUF 61
PEG = 1.0 2,206 HUF 3,151 HUF 4,097 HUF 57
EPV 462.94 HUF 715.07 HUF 916.89 HUF 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 65.41 HUF 105.55 HUF 133.33 HUF 69
DDM Multi-Stage 65.41 HUF 101.94 HUF 113.89 HUF 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,732 HUF 2,309 HUF 2,887 HUF 63
P/S Multiple 1,636 HUF 2,181 HUF 2,726 HUF 58
P/B Multiple 1,127 HUF 1,502 HUF 1,878 HUF 55
EV/EBIT 3,115 HUF 4,929 HUF 6,744 HUF 64
EV/EBITDA 4,592 HUF 6,899 HUF 9,206 HUF 66
EV/Revenue 2,074 HUF 3,961 HUF 5,849 HUF 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 417.34 HUF 559.24 HUF 834.68 HUF 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,375 HUF 1,339 HUF 1,398 HUF 76
ROIC Compounder 462.94 HUF 715.07 HUF 916.89 HUF 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2,685 HUF 3,835 HUF 4,986 HUF 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 37
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 40
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 27
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 22
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 78
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 22
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 13
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in HUF ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in HUF: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+32.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%

ALTEO screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −35.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 1.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 7.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 40.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.33× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.79× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.50× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)34 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $31.14 $72.13 +132% vs ALTEO
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.91 ¥32.21 +8% vs ALTEO
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.81 ¥17.01 +8% vs ALTEO
VERBUND AG VER €72.70 €66.45 −9% vs ALTEO
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.19 €11.12 −52% vs ALTEO
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.97 ¥4.45 −59% vs ALTEO
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.14 €6.43 −72% vs ALTEO
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €14.49 €3.67 −75% vs ALTEO
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.70 kr 33.25 −78% vs ALTEO
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,424 ₹170.50 −88% vs ALTEO

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ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALTEO

Frequently asked questions

Is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,309 HUF versus a price of 3,560 HUF, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALTEO?
Our model-based fair value for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 2,309 HUF (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,560 HUF.
What is the quality score of ALTEO?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,309 HUF (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,732 HUF, optimistic scenario 2,887 HUF. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,309 HUF, about 35% lower versus a price of 3,560 HUF (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1,732 HUF, optimistic scenario 2,887 HUF. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 141B HUF (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. pay a dividend?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.28% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. has a dividend yield of 0.3%.
What is the intrinsic value of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. it is 2,309 HUF per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 3,560 HUF. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, ALTEO trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,560 HUF, fair value 2,309 HUF, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALTEO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,560 HUF); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,309 HUF). For ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. the two are 1,251 HUF per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. worth?
The market values ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. at about 70.1B HUF (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 3,560 HUF; our models calculate a fair value of 2,309 HUF per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALTEO?
Our models span a range for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.: cautious scenario 1,732 HUF, base 2,309 HUF, optimistic 2,887 HUF per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 3,560 HUF). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Balance-sheet figures for ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 1.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALTEO from its 52-week high?
ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. trades at 3,560 HUF, about 26% below its 52-week high of 4,800 HUF and 10% above the low of 3,240 HUF (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,309 HUF is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 3,560 HUF, calculated fair value 2,309 HUF (−35%), Quality Score 36/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALTEO calculated?
We run ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 2,309 HUF builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 3,560 HUF. Our model-based fair value is 2,309 HUF, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,887 HUF). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt.

How large is the market capitalisation of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The market capitalisation of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 70.1B HUF (≈ $216M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 0.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Earnings per share at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. are −10.73 HUF. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The dividend yield of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The net margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is −0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
The operating margin of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Revenue at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is growing +40.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO)?
Earnings per share at ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. are growing −24.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) generate?
The free cash flow of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is −4.8B HUF (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. (ALTEO) carry?
The net debt of ALTEO Energiaszolgaltato Nyrt. is 45.9B HUF (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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