Ambow Education Holding (AMBO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.6M
Ambow Education Holding
AMBO · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −19.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 150% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.52). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.52 to $11.00). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.03 – $26.80 · fair‑value band $3.52 – $11.00 · the $1.80 price screens below the $4.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Ambow Education Holding (AMBO) currently trades at $1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ambow Education Holding generated revenue of $10.0M at a net margin of 16.8%. Revenue grew 21.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. Net debt stands at $8.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.52 (bear case) to $11.00 (bull case); at $1.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 150%, AMBO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.60) versus Asset-Based ($2.11). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ambow Education Holding Ltd. operates as an AI-driven technology educational company in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Educational programs and services, and HybriU licensing and sales.
Full company description
Ambow Education Holding Ltd. operates as an AI-driven technology educational company in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Educational programs and services, and HybriU licensing and sales. The company develops and offers HybriU, an AI driven platform, which is designed for the education, corporate conferencing, and live events industries to deliver immersive, intelligent, and real-time experiences, as well as engagement across in-person and remote audiences. It also provides career-focused post-secondary educational services to undergraduate students. Ambow Education Holding Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ambow Education Holding reported revenue of $9.5M in FY2025 versus $113M in FY2021, a compound −46.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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