Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ambow Education Holding Ltd $4.43, price $2.14, upside +107.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.03 – $26.80 · fair‑value band $3.37 – $8.79 · the $2.14 price screens below the $4.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ambow Education Holding Ltd. operates as an AI-driven technology educational company in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Educational programs and services, and HybriU licensing and sales.
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Ambow Education Holding Ltd. operates as an AI-driven technology educational company in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Educational programs and services, and HybriU licensing and sales. The company develops and offers HybriU, an AI driven platform, which is designed for the education, corporate conferencing, and live events industries to deliver immersive, intelligent, and real-time experiences, as well as engagement across in-person and remote audiences. It also provides career-focused post-secondary educational services to undergraduate students. Ambow Education Holding Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
Stock analysis
Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO) currently trades at $2.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.43, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $8.60 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the $2.14 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.11, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.37 (bear) to $8.79 (bull), the price of $2.14 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Ambow Education Holding Ltd reported revenue of $9.5M in FY2025 versus $113M in FY2021, a compound −46.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $7.6M · P/E ratio 4.6 · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) $0.5800 · Net margin 14.4% · Return on equity 21.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −63.4% · Operating margin 15.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 107%, AMBO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.37Fair Value $4.43Bull $8.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4259 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.22/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−54.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−39.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −31.2% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
Compare Ambow Education Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 142 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+107% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.43 versus a price of $2.14, about +107% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AMBO?
Our model-based fair value for Ambow Education Holding Ltd is $4.43 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.14.
What is the quality score of AMBO?
Ambow Education Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.43 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.37, optimistic scenario $8.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ambow Education Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.43, about +107% upside versus a price of $2.14 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.37, optimistic scenario $8.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Ambow Education Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ambow Education Holding Ltd it is $4.43 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.14. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ambow Education Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AMBO trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.14, fair value $4.43, a gap of about +107% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMBO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.43). For Ambow Education Holding Ltd the two are $2.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ambow Education Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Ambow Education Holding Ltd at about $7.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.14; our models calculate a fair value of $4.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMBO?
Our models span a range for Ambow Education Holding Ltd: cautious scenario $3.37, base $4.43, optimistic $8.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AMBO?
Ambow Education Holding Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 18.6.
What is the PEG ratio of AMBO?
The PEG ratio of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is 0.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ambow Education Holding Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.7%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMBO from its 52-week high?
Ambow Education Holding Ltd trades at $2.14, about 63% below its 52-week high of $5.75 and 41% above the low of $1.52 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ambow Education Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ambow Education Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.14, calculated fair value $4.43 (+107%), Quality Score 49/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMBO calculated?
We run Ambow Education Holding Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ambow Education Holding Ltd currently trades 107 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.14. Our model-based fair value is $4.43, about +107% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ambow Education Holding Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($3.37 to $8.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Ambow Education Holding Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
The market capitalisation of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is $7.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is 0.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Earnings per share at Ambow Education Holding Ltd are $0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
The net margin of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is 14.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is 21.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is −63.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
The operating margin of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Revenue at Ambow Education Holding Ltd is growing +21.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −54.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO)?
Earnings per share at Ambow Education Holding Ltd are growing +267% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO) generate?
The free cash flow of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is −$850K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ambow Education Holding Ltd (AMBO) carry?
The net debt of Ambow Education Holding Ltd is $8.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026