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Austin Engineering Ltd (ANG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$96.6M (≈ $69.6M) · ISIN AU000000ANG3

What is Austin Engineering Ltd really worth?

AE Austin Engineering Ltd ANG · AU
PriceA$0.1800
Fair ValueA$0.5500
Upside+205.6%
Quality56/100

A solid business, trading 67% below our fair value of A$0.5500.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Austin Engineering Ltd is A$0.5500 per share against a price of A$0.1800, so the fair value sits 206% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·6.67% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range A$0.3800 – A$0.8400

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +20.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.3800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$0.3800 to A$0.8400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.6164 A$0.1160 Fair Value A$0.5500 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1160 – A$0.6164 · fair‑value band A$0.3800 – A$0.8400 · the A$0.1800 price screens below the A$0.5500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Austin Engineering Ltd (ANG) currently trades at A$0.1800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5500, implying the stock looks roughly 67.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.8400 per share, and 14 of the 17 models we run sit above the A$0.1800 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.1500, and 3 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Austin Engineering Ltd generated revenue of A$372M at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at A$32.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.3800 (bear case) to A$0.8400 (bull case); at A$0.1800, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 206%, ANG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.0180 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings A$0.4100 A$0.6700 A$1.05 75
EPV A$0.3500 A$0.3900 A$0.4200 74
ROIC Compounder A$0.3800 A$0.4700 A$0.5800 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.4100 A$0.6700 A$1.05 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.2800 A$1.42 A$1.95 64
Lynch FV A$0.3800 A$0.5500 A$0.7100 61
PEG = 1.0 A$0.3800 A$0.5500 A$0.7100 57
EPV A$0.3500 A$0.3900 A$0.4200 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0900 A$0.1500 A$0.2000 68
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0900 A$0.1500 A$0.1600 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.6600 A$0.8800 A$1.09 63
P/S Multiple A$0.5300 A$0.7100 A$0.8900 58
P/B Multiple A$0.5300 A$0.7100 A$0.8900 55
EV/EBIT A$0.6800 A$0.9100 A$1.14 66
EV/EBITDA A$0.6800 A$0.9000 A$1.13 67
EV/Revenue A$0.4900 A$0.7000 A$0.9000 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1200 A$0.1500 A$0.2300 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.2200 A$0.2900 A$0.6600 70
ROIC Compounder A$0.3800 A$0.4700 A$0.5800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.5800 A$0.8400 A$1.09 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.8400) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.1500). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 6.0
P/S ratio 0.41 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) A$0.0300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0
Dividend yield 6.7% payout 40.0%
Net margin 6.9% FY2025
Return on equity 10.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) A$372M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.7% 3y avg +23.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −86.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$6.9M FY2025
Net debt A$32.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Austin Engineering Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and supplies mining attachment products, and other related products and services for the industrial and resources-related business sectors.

Full company description

Austin Engineering Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and supplies mining attachment products, and other related products and services for the industrial and resources-related business sectors. The company offers buckets, such as back hoe, wheel loader, hydraulic loading shovels, rope shovel dipper, and underground LHD; and dump bodies, underground dump bodies, tyre handlers, ancillary products, and water tanks. It also provides on and off site repair and maintenance services, including specialized site machining, specialized fabrication and welding, specialized machining, on-site machining of ball and crusher mill tyre, metal spraying, NDT testing, service and exchange parts, and heavy equipment reclamation services, as well as manufacturing and supply of pins and bushes. It operates in Australia, Chile, the United States, Canada, Indonesia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Kewdale, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Austin Engineering Ltd reported revenue of A$379M in FY2025 versus A$198M in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$26.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$379M
Latest YoY
+21.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+26.7% · in AUD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+20.0%
Dividend yield6.7%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 44.9% vs 10Y 13.8%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5.7% (2020) → 8.7% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop1,859% (2016) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in AUD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 15.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue +17.7%/yr
FY21 A$198M
FY22 A$203M
FY23 A$258M
FY24 A$313M
FY25 A$379M
Net income
FY21 −A$540K
FY22 A$16.8M
FY23 A$2.8M
FY24 A$26.1M
FY25 A$26.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Austin Engineering Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANG.AU

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.66× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 12
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST42 · sector 31
HEALTH94 · sector 93
DIVIDEND100 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Daimler Truck Holding DTG €45.73 €47.70 +4%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 272.80 kr 144.14 −47%
Exor N.V EXO €72.10 €123.44 +71%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥19.06 ¥20.84 +9%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Austin Engineering Ltd (ANG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5500 versus a price of A$0.1800, about +206% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ANG?
Our model-based fair value for Austin Engineering Ltd is A$0.5500 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1800.
What is the quality score of ANG?
Austin Engineering Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Austin Engineering Ltd (ANG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.5500 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.3800, optimistic scenario A$0.8400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Austin Engineering Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.5500, about +206% upside versus a price of A$0.1800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3800, optimistic scenario A$0.8400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Austin Engineering Ltd (ANG)?
Austin Engineering Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$372M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ANG?
The net profit margin of Austin Engineering Ltd is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Austin Engineering Ltd pay a dividend?
Austin Engineering Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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