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Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Antalpha Platform Holding Co $5.33, price $2.92, upside +82.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · US · ISIN KYG0395R1065

AP Antalpha Platform Holding Co logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Antalpha Platform Holding Co

ANTA · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $5.33 · Strongly undervalued (+83%)
!Quality 55/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +67.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.38 $2.92 Fair Value $5.33 May 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range $2.92 – $16.38 · fair‑value band $4.50 – $10.11 · the $2.92 price screens below the $5.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Antalpha Platform Holding Company provides financing, technology, and risk management solutions to the digital asset industry in Singapore and internationally. It operates through two segments, Antalpha Prime and XAUt Treasury Strategy. The Antalpha Prime segment provides technology-based supply chain financing and platform services.

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Antalpha Platform Holding Company provides financing, technology, and risk management solutions to the digital asset industry in Singapore and internationally. It operates through two segments, Antalpha Prime and XAUt Treasury Strategy. The Antalpha Prime segment provides technology-based supply chain financing and platform services. The XAUt Treasury Strategy segment focuses on digital asset treasury management. The company offers supply chain financing to enterprises secured by Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining machines; and hashrate loans to pay for the acquisition of mining machines and mining operation expenditures. In addition, the company provides financing solutions, including crypto margin loans from its funding partner Northstar. Further, it acts as an agent that offers loan servicing and management, anti-money laundering, and other platform services. Antalpha Platform Holding Company was founded in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore. Antalpha Platform Holding Company operates as a subsidiary of Antalpha Technologies Holding Company.

Stock analysis

Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA) currently trades at $2.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.33, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $26.97 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the $2.92 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.34, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $4.50 (bear) to $10.11 (bull), the price of $2.92 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Antalpha Platform Holding Co reported revenue of $79.7M in FY2025 versus $11.3M in FY2023, a compound +165.9%/yr. Reported net income was $18.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $159M · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 1.87 · EPS (TTM) $0.8200 · Net margin 23.2% · Return on equity 23.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 32.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 83%, ANTA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.50 Fair Value $5.33 Bull $10.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6021 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings n/a n/a $2.98 65
P/E Multiple $7.51 $10.02 $12.52 63
Residual Income $4.53 $5.40 $10.50 59
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings n/a n/a $2.98 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.24 $36.55 $51.29 56
Lynch FV $18.88 $26.97 $35.07 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.51 $10.02 $12.52 63
P/B Multiple $5.24 $6.98 $8.73 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.49 $3.34 $4.99 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.53 $5.40 $10.50 59

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 331 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +72% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 6.02× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 42.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)96 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 68

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $367.98 $221.29 −40%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $566.08 $359.54 −36%
American Express Company AXP $305.66 $208.54 −32%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $196.61 $125.94 −36%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,043 ₹1,101 +6%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $52.89 $99.46 +88%
Affirm Holdings AFRM $68.09 $16.24 −76%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,011 ₹1,374 +36%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $70.67 $137.28 +94%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $16.55 $5.57 −66%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Antalpha Platform Holding Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANTA

Frequently asked questions

Is Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.33 versus a price of $2.92, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ANTA?
Our model-based fair value for Antalpha Platform Holding Co is $5.33 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.92.
What is the quality score of ANTA?
Antalpha Platform Holding Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.33 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.50, optimistic scenario $10.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Antalpha Platform Holding Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.33, about +83% upside versus a price of $2.92 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.50, optimistic scenario $10.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Antalpha Platform Holding Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $86.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Antalpha Platform Holding Co it is $5.33 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.92. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Antalpha Platform Holding Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ANTA trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.92, fair value $5.33, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ANTA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.33). For Antalpha Platform Holding Co the two are $2.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Antalpha Platform Holding Co worth?
The market values Antalpha Platform Holding Co at about $159M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.92; our models calculate a fair value of $5.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ANTA?
Our models span a range for Antalpha Platform Holding Co: cautious scenario $4.50, base $5.33, optimistic $10.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ANTA?
Antalpha Platform Holding Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.33 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 5.3 (reported for FY2025: 3.6). Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 42.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Antalpha Platform Holding Co (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 23.9%, debt of 6.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ANTA from its 52-week high?
Antalpha Platform Holding Co trades at $2.92, about 78% below its 52-week high of $13.55 and at the low of $2.92 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Antalpha Platform Holding Co?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Antalpha Platform Holding Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.92, calculated fair value $5.33 (+83%), Quality Score 55/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ANTA calculated?
We run Antalpha Platform Holding Co through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Antalpha Platform Holding Co currently trades 83 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $2.92. Our model-based fair value is $5.33, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Antalpha Platform Holding Co right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($4.50 to $10.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Antalpha Platform Holding Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
The market capitalisation of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is $159M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is 1.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Earnings per share at Antalpha Platform Holding Co are $0.8200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
The net margin of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is 23.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is 23.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is −0.1% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
The operating margin of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is 32.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Revenue at Antalpha Platform Holding Co is growing +52.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA)?
Earnings per share at Antalpha Platform Holding Co are growing +42.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA) generate?
The free cash flow of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is −$4.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Antalpha Platform Holding Co (ANTA) carry?
The net debt of Antalpha Platform Holding Co is $1.0B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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