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Antalpha Platform Holding (ANTA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $159M

AP Antalpha Platform Holding logo Antalpha Platform Holding ANTA · US
Price$3.69
Fair Value$7.28
Upside+97.3%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: Medium Range $5.46 – $7.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $10.02 to $7.28 (−27.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −25.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 97% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (15 months)

$16.38 $3.05 Fair Value $7.28 May 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $3.05 – $16.38 · fair‑value band $5.46 – $7.63 · the $3.69 price screens below the $7.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Antalpha Platform Holding (ANTA) currently trades at $3.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.28, implying the stock looks roughly 97.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Antalpha Platform Holding generated revenue of $86.8M at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 52.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.46 (bear case) to $7.63 (bull case); at $3.69, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 97%, ANTA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $7.51 $10.02 $12.52 63
Residual Income $4.53 $5.40 $10.50 61
P/B Multiple $5.24 $6.98 $8.73 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.08 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.24 $36.55 $51.29 54
Lynch FV $18.88 $26.97 $35.07 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.51 $10.02 $12.52 63
P/B Multiple $5.24 $6.98 $8.73 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.49 $3.34 $4.99 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.53 $5.40 $10.50 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($26.97) versus Asset-Based ($3.34). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $86.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.4%
Net margin 22.7%
Return on equity 23.9%
Free cash flow −$4.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.1
More key figures
Operating margin 32.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.8200
EPS growth (YoY) +42.9%
Net debt $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Antalpha Platform Holding Company provides financing, technology, and risk management solutions to the digital asset industry in Singapore and internationally. It operates through two segments, Antalpha Prime and XAUt Treasury Strategy. The Antalpha Prime segment provides technology-based supply chain financing and platform services.

Full company description

Antalpha Platform Holding Company provides financing, technology, and risk management solutions to the digital asset industry in Singapore and internationally. It operates through two segments, Antalpha Prime and XAUt Treasury Strategy. The Antalpha Prime segment provides technology-based supply chain financing and platform services. The XAUt Treasury Strategy segment focuses on digital asset treasury management. The company offers supply chain financing to enterprises secured by Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining machines; and hashrate loans to pay for the acquisition of mining machines and mining operation expenditures. In addition, the company provides financing solutions, including crypto margin loans from its funding partner Northstar. Further, it acts as an agent that offers loan servicing and management, anti-money laundering, and other platform services. Antalpha Platform Holding Company was founded in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore. Antalpha Platform Holding Company operates as a subsidiary of Antalpha Technologies Holding Company.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Antalpha Platform Holding reported revenue of $79.7M in FY2025 versus $11.3M in FY2023, a compound +165.9%/yr. Reported net income was $18.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$79.7M
Latest YoY
+67.9%
Revenue +165.9%/yr
FY23 $11.3M
FY24 $47.5M
FY25 $79.7M
Net income
FY23 −$6.6M
FY24 $4.4M
FY25 $18.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Antalpha Platform Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANTA

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +97% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Below median
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 6.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 42.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 96 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Antalpha Platform Holding (ANTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.28 versus a price of $3.69, about +97% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ANTA?
Our model-based fair value for Antalpha Platform Holding is $7.28 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.69.
What is the quality score of ANTA?
Antalpha Platform Holding has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Antalpha Platform Holding (ANTA)?
Antalpha Platform Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $86.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ANTA?
The net profit margin of Antalpha Platform Holding is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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