Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd stock C$0.05, price C$0.32, upside -83.8%, quality 23 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1400 – C$1.04 · fair‑value band C$0.0510 – C$0.0595 · the C$0.3150 price screens above the C$0.0510 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd., a precious metals producer, engages in reactivating past producing mines in Mexico. It produces silver, gold, zinc, and lead deposits at the Topia mine.
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The company was formerly known as Vangold Mining Corp. and changed its name to Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. in June 2021. Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR) currently trades at C$0.3150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0510, 83.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of C$0.0700 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the C$0.3150 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.0300, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.0510 (bear) to C$0.0595 (bull), the price of C$0.3150 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd reported revenue of $78.8M in FY2025 versus $4.1M in FY2021, a compound +109.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$37.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$234M (≈ $167M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.27 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0700 · Net margin −47.5% · Return on equity −64.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.6% · Operating margin 6.8% · Revenue (TTM) $125M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −84%, GSVR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$0.0510Fair Value C$0.0510BullC$0.0595
Price C$0.3150 · Upside -83.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPVC$0.0600C$0.0600C$0.070071
ROIC CompounderC$0.0700C$0.0700C$0.080070
EV/EBITDAC$0.0800C$0.1200C$0.150067
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPVC$0.0600C$0.0600C$0.070071
Multiples
EV/EBITC$0.0200C$0.0400C$0.050064
EV/EBITDAC$0.0800C$0.1200C$0.150067
EV/RevenueC$0.0200C$0.0300C$0.050051
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)C$0.0300C$0.0300C$0.050054
Economic Profit
ROIC CompounderC$0.0700C$0.0700C$0.080070
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−253.8% (2021) → −11.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (5 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Silver · 16 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−35.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−20.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)6.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)130.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Silver median · lower = cheaper
P/B6.16× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.34× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.9× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)70· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSVR
Frequently asked questions
Is Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0510 versus a price of C$0.3150, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GSVR?
Our model-based fair value for Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is C$0.0510 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.3150.
What is the quality score of GSVR?
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0510 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0510, optimistic scenario C$0.0595. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0510, about −84% upside versus a price of C$0.3150 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0510, optimistic scenario C$0.0595. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $125M (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd it is C$0.0510 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of C$0.3150. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, GSVR trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.3150, fair value C$0.0510, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GSVR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.3150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0510). For Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd the two are C$0.2640 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd worth?
The market values Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd at about C$234M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is C$0.3150; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0510 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GSVR?
Our models span a range for Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd: cautious scenario C$0.0510, base C$0.0510, optimistic C$0.0595 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price C$0.3150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity −64.8%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GSVR from its 52-week high?
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd trades at C$0.3150, about 70% below its 52-week high of C$1.04 and 2% above the low of C$0.3100 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0510 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value First Majestic Silver Corp, Discovery Silver Corp, Aya Gold & Silver Inc, Hunan Silver Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price C$0.3150, calculated fair value C$0.0510 (−84%), Quality Score 23/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GSVR calculated?
We run Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0510, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was C$0.3150. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0510, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
The market capitalisation of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is C$234M (≈ $167M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is 2.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
Earnings per share at Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd are C$−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
The net margin of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is −47.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is −64.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is −17.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
The operating margin of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR)?
Revenue at Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is growing +130% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR) generate?
The free cash flow of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is −$3.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (GSVR) carry?
The net debt of Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd is $11.6M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026