Aptiv PLC (APTV) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $12.3B
Aptiv PLC
APTV · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $17.15 to $34.30 (+100.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −21.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.30 – $178.12 · fair‑value band $25.74 – $42.88 · the $46.30 price screens above the $34.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Aptiv PLC (APTV) currently trades at $46.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.30, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aptiv PLC generated revenue of $20.7B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at $6.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.74 (bear case) to $42.88 (bull case); at $46.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -26%, APTV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($54.52) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems.
Full company description
Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. The company offers active safety, user experience and smart vehicle compute, and software products for vehicle safety and security, including intelligent sensors, compute platforms, and software tools and services. It also provides connection systems, interconnects, and cable management and protection solutions for the distribution of power, signal, and data. Aptiv PLC was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aptiv PLC reported revenue of $20.4B in FY2025 versus $15.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $165M in FY2025, compounding −27.3%/yr from FY2021.
APTV screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- APTIV PLC (APTV) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?
- Has Aptiv (APTV) Fallen Far Enough To Look Undervalued?
- Aptiv PLC Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Aptiv Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 641 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹660.10 | ₹207.06 | -69% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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