Aptiv PLC (APTV34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Aptiv PLC BRL 61.02, price BRL 114, upside -46.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems.
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Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. The company offers active safety, user experience and smart vehicle compute, and software products for vehicle safety and security, including intelligent sensors, compute platforms, and software tools and services. It also provides connection systems, interconnects, and cable management and protection solutions for the distribution of power, signal, and data. Aptiv PLC was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Aptiv PLC (APTV34) currently trades at R$114.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$61.02, 46.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of R$179.89 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$114.20 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$10.65, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aptiv PLC reported revenue of $20.4B in FY2025 versus $15.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $165M in FY2025, compounding −27.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$62.3B (≈ $11.9B) · P/E ratio 26.3 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) R$4.35 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −47%, APTV34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$61.02Fair Value R$61.02Bull R$61.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$3.29 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
’18
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’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+4.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−6.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.8% a year for the price and −9.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (92 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 665 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−22.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.1% · Below median
Return on assets5.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.81× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aptiv PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APTV34
Frequently asked questions
Is Aptiv PLC (APTV34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$61.02 versus a price of R$114.20, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of APTV34?
Our model-based fair value for Aptiv PLC is R$61.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$114.20.
What is the quality score of APTV34?
Aptiv PLC has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$61.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aptiv PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$61.02, about −47% upside versus a price of R$114.20 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Aptiv PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aptiv PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of APTV34 use?
Our models discount Aptiv PLC at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.34, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aptiv PLC that is -3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aptiv PLC (APTV34) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aptiv PLC grew +9.3 % a year. The price currently implies -3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aptiv PLC (APTV34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aptiv PLC (-3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.36 %: that much free cash flow Aptiv PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aptiv PLC it is R$61.02 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of R$114.20. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aptiv PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, APTV34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$114.20, fair value R$61.02, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of APTV34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$114.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$61.02). For Aptiv PLC the two are R$53.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aptiv PLC worth?
The market values Aptiv PLC at about R$62.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is R$114.20; our models calculate a fair value of R$61.02 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of APTV34?
Aptiv PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$61.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.3, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
What is the PEG ratio of APTV34?
The PEG ratio of Aptiv PLC is 0.94 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aptiv PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is APTV34 from its 52-week high?
Aptiv PLC trades at R$114.20, about 52% below its 52-week high of R$238.80 and 2% above the low of R$111.97 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$61.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aptiv PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aptiv PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price R$114.20, calculated fair value R$61.02 (−47%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of APTV34 calculated?
We run Aptiv PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$61.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aptiv PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$114.20. Our model-based fair value is R$61.02, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aptiv PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$61.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Aptiv PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The market capitalisation of Aptiv PLC is R$62.3B (≈ $11.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aptiv PLC is 0.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Earnings per share at Aptiv PLC are R$4.35 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The net margin of Aptiv PLC is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aptiv PLC is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aptiv PLC is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
The operating margin of Aptiv PLC is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Revenue at Aptiv PLC is growing +5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aptiv PLC (APTV34)?
Earnings per share at Aptiv PLC are growing −43.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aptiv PLC (APTV34) carry?
The net debt of Aptiv PLC is $5.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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