ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of ARC Finance Ltd ₹0.06, price ₹0.46, upside -87.0%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch ARC Finance Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.3530 – ₹4.84 · fair‑value band ₹0.0600 – ₹0.1700 · the ₹0.4600 price screens above the ₹0.0600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow ARC Finance in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether ARC Finance is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
ARC Finance Ltd, a non-banking finance company, engages in the lending business in India. The company offers loans and advances; and various financial services. It also invests and trades in securities. The company was formerly known as ARC Modellors & Services Limited and changed its name to ARC Finance Ltd in February 1993.
Show more
ARC Finance Ltd, a non-banking finance company, engages in the lending business in India. The company offers loans and advances; and various financial services. It also invests and trades in securities. The company was formerly known as ARC Modellors & Services Limited and changed its name to ARC Finance Ltd in February 1993. ARC Finance Ltd was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Stock analysis
ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN) currently trades at ₹0.4600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.0600, 87.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹0.2900 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the ₹0.4600 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ₹0.0900, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹0.0600 (bear) to ₹0.1700 (bull), the price of ₹0.4600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ARC Finance Ltd reported revenue of ₹281M in FY2026 versus −₹54.0M in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹7.2M in FY2026, compounding +26.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹401M (≈ $4.2M) · P/E ratio 46.0 · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.0100 · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 197% · Operating margin 12.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −87%, ARCFIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹0.0600Fair Value ₹0.0600Bull ₹0.1700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0051 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+492.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+98.7%
’20
’21
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+25.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
2026 sits 69% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 330 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−87.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth128.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)46.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.40× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF46.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 55
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 59
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.0600 versus a price of ₹0.4600, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARCFIN?
Our model-based fair value for ARC Finance Ltd is ₹0.0600 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹0.4600.
What is the quality score of ARCFIN?
ARC Finance Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.0600 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.0600, optimistic scenario ₹0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ARC Finance Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.0600, about −87% upside versus a price of ₹0.4600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹0.0600, optimistic scenario ₹0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
ARC Finance Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹287M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ARC Finance Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +37.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +83.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARCFIN use?
Our models discount ARC Finance Ltd at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ARC Finance Ltd that is +37.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ARC Finance Ltd grew +83.3 % a year. The price currently implies +37.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ARC Finance Ltd (+37.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.17 %: that much free cash flow ARC Finance Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ARC Finance Ltd it is ₹0.0600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹0.4600. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ARC Finance Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ARCFIN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹0.4600, fair value ₹0.0600, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARCFIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹0.4600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.0600). For ARC Finance Ltd the two are ₹0.4000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ARC Finance Ltd worth?
The market values ARC Finance Ltd at about ₹401M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹0.4600; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.0600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARCFIN?
Our models span a range for ARC Finance Ltd: cautious scenario ₹0.0600, base ₹0.0600, optimistic ₹0.1700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹0.4600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARCFIN?
ARC Finance Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹0.0600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for ARC Finance Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARCFIN from its 52-week high?
ARC Finance Ltd trades at ₹0.4600, about 44% below its 52-week high of ₹0.8200 and 2% above the low of ₹0.4500 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹0.0600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ARC Finance Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ARC Finance Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹0.4600, calculated fair value ₹0.0600 (−87%), Quality Score 38/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARCFIN calculated?
We run ARC Finance Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹0.0600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ARC Finance Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹0.4600. Our model-based fair value is ₹0.0600, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ARC Finance Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹0.0600 to ₹0.1700). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of ARC Finance Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The market capitalisation of ARC Finance Ltd is ₹401M (≈ $4.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ARC Finance Ltd is 1.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
Earnings per share at ARC Finance Ltd are ₹0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The net margin of ARC Finance Ltd is 2.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ARC Finance Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ARC Finance Ltd is 197% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
The operating margin of ARC Finance Ltd is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
Revenue at ARC Finance Ltd is growing +129% versus a year earlier (3y avg +493%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN)?
Earnings per share at ARC Finance Ltd are growing +26.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ARC Finance Ltd (ARCFIN) carry?
The net debt of ARC Finance Ltd is ₹136M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 15.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch ARC Finance Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts ARC Finance Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
