Alerion Cleanpower (ARN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Alerion Cleanpower €23.15, price €18.46, upside +25.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €10.74 – €38.68 · fair‑value band €14.26 – €37.36 · the €18.46 price screens below the €23.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Alerion Clean Power S.p.A. engages in electricity production from renewable sources in the wind and solar power in Italy, Spain, Bulgaria, and Romania. The company operates 34 wind power plants with 809 MW gross installed power; 24 photovoltaic power plants with 212 MW gross installed power; and 200 MW pumped hydroelectric plant.
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Alerion Clean Power S.p.A. engages in electricity production from renewable sources in the wind and solar power in Italy, Spain, Bulgaria, and Romania. The company operates 34 wind power plants with 809 MW gross installed power; 24 photovoltaic power plants with 212 MW gross installed power; and 200 MW pumped hydroelectric plant. It serves approximately 600,000 households. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy. Alerion Clean Power S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of FRI-EL Green Power S.p.A.
Stock analysis
Alerion Cleanpower (ARN) currently trades at €18.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €23.15, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €45.05 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the €18.46 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €5.31, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €14.26 (bear) to €37.36 (bull), the price of €18.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Alerion Cleanpower reported revenue of €228M in FY2025 versus €150M in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was €93.3M in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €1.1B · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 4.32 · EPS (TTM) €1.75 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 41.0% · Return on equity 25.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 25%, ARN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €14.26Fair Value €23.15Bull €37.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.8266 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+26.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.24% vs 55%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39% → 56%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 205 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Above median
Fair Value upside+26% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)63% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.21× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alerion Cleanpower Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARN
Frequently asked questions
Is Alerion Cleanpower (ARN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €23.15 versus a price of €18.46, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARN?
Our model-based fair value for Alerion Cleanpower is €23.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €18.46.
What is the quality score of ARN?
Alerion Cleanpower has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €23.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €14.26, optimistic scenario €37.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alerion Cleanpower stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €23.15, about +25% upside versus a price of €18.46 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €14.26, optimistic scenario €37.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Alerion Cleanpower reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €144M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Alerion Cleanpower pay a dividend?
Alerion Cleanpower currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alerion Cleanpower it is €23.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €18.46. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alerion Cleanpower stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARN trades below its calculated fair value: price €18.46, fair value €23.15, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€18.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€23.15). For Alerion Cleanpower the two are €4.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alerion Cleanpower worth?
The market values Alerion Cleanpower at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €18.46; our models calculate a fair value of €23.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARN?
Our models span a range for Alerion Cleanpower: cautious scenario €14.26, base €23.15, optimistic €37.36 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €18.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARN?
Alerion Cleanpower trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €23.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 3.0, P/S 8.5, EV/EBITDA 21.4.
What is the PEG ratio of ARN?
The PEG ratio of Alerion Cleanpower is 0.17 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alerion Cleanpower (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 25.3%, debt of 2.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARN from its 52-week high?
Alerion Cleanpower trades at €18.46, about 35% below its 52-week high of €28.20 and 8% above the low of €17.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €23.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alerion Cleanpower?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alerion Cleanpower stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €18.46, calculated fair value €23.15 (+25%), Quality Score 47/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARN calculated?
We run Alerion Cleanpower through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €23.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Alerion Cleanpower currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €18.46. Our model-based fair value is €23.15, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alerion Cleanpower right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€14.26 to €37.36). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Alerion Cleanpower
How large is the market capitalisation of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The market capitalisation of Alerion Cleanpower is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alerion Cleanpower is 4.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Earnings per share at Alerion Cleanpower are €1.75 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The dividend yield of Alerion Cleanpower is 3.3% (payout 34.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The net margin of Alerion Cleanpower is 41.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alerion Cleanpower is 25.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alerion Cleanpower is 9.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
The operating margin of Alerion Cleanpower is 31.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Revenue at Alerion Cleanpower is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alerion Cleanpower (ARN)?
Earnings per share at Alerion Cleanpower are growing +13.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alerion Cleanpower (ARN) generate?
The free cash flow of Alerion Cleanpower is −€130M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alerion Cleanpower (ARN) carry?
The net debt of Alerion Cleanpower is €666M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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