Asara Resources Ltd (AS1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Asara Resources Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.13, upside -79.6%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.1600 · fair‑value band A$0.0170 – A$0.0340 · the A$0.1250 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Asara Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Australia, Guinea and Burkina Faso, and Chile. The company primarily explores for gold, zinc, silver, lead, and copper deposits. Its flagship property is the Kada Gold project located in eastern Guinea.
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Asara Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Australia, Guinea and Burkina Faso, and Chile. The company primarily explores for gold, zinc, silver, lead, and copper deposits. Its flagship property is the Kada Gold project located in eastern Guinea. The company was formerly known as Golden Rim Resources Ltd and changed its name to Asara Resources Limited in December 2023. Asara Resources Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Asara Resources Ltd (AS1) currently trades at A$0.1250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, 79.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0170 (bear) to A$0.0340 (bull), the price of A$0.1250 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Asara Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$7.5K in FY2025 versus A$3.8M in FY2021, a compound −78.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.6M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$272M (≈ $189M) · Return on equity −5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.2% · Operating margin −522% · Revenue growth (YoY) −81.9% · EPS growth (YoY) +76.7% · Free cash flow −A$2.9M · Net cash A$59.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −80%, AS1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0170Fair Value A$0.0255Bull A$0.0340
Price A$0.1250 · Upside -79.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−90.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−72.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −41.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.8% (2020) → −23,816.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 217 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−80.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−81.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.83× · Cheaper than median
PEG4.93× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Asara Resources Ltd (AS1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0255 versus a price of A$0.1250, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AS1?
Our model-based fair value for Asara Resources Ltd is A$0.0255 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1250.
What is the quality score of AS1?
Asara Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0255 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0340. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asara Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0255, about −80% upside versus a price of A$0.1250 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0170, optimistic scenario A$0.0340. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asara Resources Ltd it is A$0.0255 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.1250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Asara Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, AS1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1250, fair value A$0.0255, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AS1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0255). For Asara Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0995 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asara Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Asara Resources Ltd at about A$272M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1250; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0255 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AS1?
Our models span a range for Asara Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0170, base A$0.0255, optimistic A$0.0340 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.1250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AS1?
The PEG ratio of Asara Resources Ltd is 4.93 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asara Resources Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −5.6%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AS1 from its 52-week high?
Asara Resources Ltd trades at A$0.1250, about 22% below its 52-week high of A$0.1600 and 81% above the low of A$0.0690 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0255 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asara Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asara Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.1250, calculated fair value A$0.0255 (−80%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AS1 calculated?
We run Asara Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0255, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Asara Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was A$0.1250. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0255, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asara Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0340). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0170 to A$0.0340) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Asara Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
The market capitalisation of Asara Resources Ltd is A$272M (≈ $189M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asara Resources Ltd is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asara Resources Ltd is −12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
The operating margin of Asara Resources Ltd is −522% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
Revenue at Asara Resources Ltd is growing −81.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −90.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asara Resources Ltd (AS1)?
Earnings per share at Asara Resources Ltd are growing +76.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Asara Resources Ltd (AS1) generate?
The free cash flow of Asara Resources Ltd is −A$2.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Asara Resources Ltd (AS1) hold?
Asara Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$59.8M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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