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Australian Agricultural Company (ASAGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $549M

AA Australian Agricultural Company logo Australian Agricultural Company ASAGF · US
Price$0.9500
Fair Value$2.10
Upside+121.1%
Quality48/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $1.58 – $2.62 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $2.58 to $2.10 (−18.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$1.05 $0.8800 Fair Value $2.10 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.8800 – $1.05 · fair‑value band $1.58 – $2.62 · the $0.9500 price screens below the $2.10 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Australian Agricultural Company (ASAGF) currently trades at $0.9500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.10, implying the stock looks roughly 121.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Australian Agricultural Company generated revenue of $422M at a net margin of 25.4%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at $509M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.58 (bear case) to $2.62 (bull case); at $0.9500, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at 121%, ASAGF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $422M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.7%
Net margin 25.4%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow −$15.2M FY2026
P/E ratio 7.0
More key figures
Operating margin -65.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) +247%
Net debt $509M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties. It provides its products under the Westholme and the Darling Downs brands. The company also exports its products. Australian Agricultural Company Limited was founded in 1824 and is based in Newstead, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Australian Agricultural Company reported revenue of $423M in FY2026 versus $276M in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $107M in FY2026, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY22 $276M
FY23 $313M
FY24 $336M
FY25 $388M
FY26 $423M
Net income −5.9%/yr
FY22 $137M
FY23 $4.6M
FY24 −$94.6M
FY25 −$1.1M
FY26 $107M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Australian Agricultural Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASAGF

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Frequently asked questions

Is Australian Agricultural Company (ASAGF) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.10 versus a price of $0.9500, about +121% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ASAGF?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Agricultural Company is $2.10 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9500.
What is the quality score of ASAGF?
Australian Agricultural Company has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Australian Agricultural Company (ASAGF)?
Australian Agricultural Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $422M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASAGF?
The net profit margin of Australian Agricultural Company is about 25.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.