Ascopiave S.p.A (ASC) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IT · Market cap €605M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €3.78 to €3.42 (−9.5%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −9.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from €2.76 (bear) to €4.22 (bull), base €3.42. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.46 – €3.53 · fair‑value band €2.76 – €4.22 · the €2.81 price screens below the €3.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ascopiave S.p.A (ASC) currently trades at €2.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.42, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ascopiave S.p.A generated revenue of €260M at a net margin of 32.7%. Revenue grew 29.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at €577M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.76 (bear case) to €4.22 (bull case); at €2.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 22%, ASC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€5.67) versus DCF Models (€1.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ascopiave S.p.A. engages in the distribution of natural gas in Italy. It operates through Gas Distribution, Renewable Energy, and Other segments. The company holds concessions and direct assignments for the management of gas distribution in various municipalities; and provides services to users through a distribution network, as well as to catchment area.
Full company description
Ascopiave S.p.A. engages in the distribution of natural gas in Italy. It operates through Gas Distribution, Renewable Energy, and Other segments. The company holds concessions and direct assignments for the management of gas distribution in various municipalities; and provides services to users through a distribution network, as well as to catchment area. It also involved in the renewable energy and integrated water service sector; heat management and cogeneration activities; and production of energy from renewable sources through the management of hydroelectric, photovoltaic, and wind power plants. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Pieve di Soligo, Italy. Ascopiave S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Asco Holding SpA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ascopiave S.p.A reported revenue of €244M in FY2025 versus €135M in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was €86.8M in FY2025, compounding +17.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −16.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch ASC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €8.76 | €8.11 | -7% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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