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As Commercial Industrial Company (ASCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GR · Market cap €60.0M

AC As Commercial Industrial Company ASCO · AT
Price€4.43
Fair Value€2.91
Upside-34.3%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.9% net margin
4.12% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.88 – €4.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −6.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€4.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€1.88 to €4.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.83 €1.55 Fair Value €2.91 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.55 – €4.83 · fair‑value band €1.88 – €4.34 · the €4.43 price screens above the €2.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

As Commercial Industrial Company (ASCO) currently trades at €4.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.91, implying the stock looks roughly 34.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, As Commercial Industrial Company generated revenue of €36.1M at a net margin of 15.9%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 32.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.88 (bear case) to €4.34 (bull case); at €4.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -34%, ASCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €1.79 €1.96 €2.33 76
Growth DCF €0.9200 €1.01 €1.11 72
Gordon GGM €0.7800 €1.30 €1.69 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.9200 €1.02 €1.14 38
Owner Earnings €1.14 €1.33 €1.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit €1.69 €2.48 €3.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.41 €3.81 €5.44 41
5Y P/E Exit €2.76 €4.47 €6.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit €1.29 €1.86 €2.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.72 €2.64 €3.88 37
10Y P/E Exit €1.92 €3.03 €4.41 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.67 €4.93 €6.51 54
Lynch FV €1.03 €1.47 €1.91 50
PEG = 1.0 €1.03 €1.47 €1.91 46
EPV €2.62 €2.86 €3.05 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.7800 €1.30 €1.69 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.7800 €1.14 €1.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €4.06 €5.42 €6.77 63
P/S Multiple €1.87 €2.49 €3.12 58
P/B Multiple €3.14 €4.19 €5.23 55
EV/EBIT €5.12 €6.61 €8.10 53
EV/EBITDA €3.98 €5.09 €6.20 54
EV/Revenue €2.39 €3.14 €3.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.09 €1.47 €2.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.9200 €1.01 €1.11 72
Rev-Margin DCF €1.69 €2.46 €3.33 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.79 €1.96 €2.33 76
ROIC Compounder €2.69 €3.04 €3.42 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €3.28 €4.69 €6.09 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€4.69) versus Growth DCF (€1.01). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €36.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.0%
Net margin 15.9%
Return on equity 14.1%
P/E ratio 32.3
Operating margin 24.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €0.1430
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +59.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

As Commercial Industrial Company of Computers and Toys S.A. produces and trades in toys in Greece and internationally. The company also trades in toys and computers; and imports kids clothing. In addition, it operates a network of points of sale. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2014 – FY2018 · reported fiscal years

As Commercial Industrial Company reported revenue of €27.0M in FY2018 versus €19.2M in FY2014, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was €3.2M in FY2018, compounding +14.4%/yr from FY2014.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2018)
€27.0M
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Revenue +8.8%/yr
FY14 €19.2M
FY15 €21.4M
FY16 €25.8M
FY17 €26.0M
FY18 €27.0M
Net income +14.4%/yr
FY14 €1.9M
FY15 €1.5M
FY16 €2.6M
FY17 €3.0M
FY18 €3.2M

ASCO screens 34% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "As Commercial Industrial Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASCO

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.92× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 35 · sector 18
PAST 57 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 82 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$74.15 HK$119.29 +61%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$160.20 HK$227.30 +42%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $36.44 $16.16 -56%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $81.55 $83.38 +2%
Life Time Group LTH $42.15 $16.15 -62%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $114.78 $37.79 -67%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.80 HK$29.26 +98%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,255 PLN 3,714 PLN -29%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥37.82 ¥39.17 +4%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 145.70 kr 41.90 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is As Commercial Industrial Company (ASCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.91 versus a price of €4.43, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASCO?
Our model-based fair value for As Commercial Industrial Company is €2.91 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €4.43.
What is the quality score of ASCO?
As Commercial Industrial Company has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of As Commercial Industrial Company (ASCO)?
As Commercial Industrial Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €36.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASCO?
The net profit margin of As Commercial Industrial Company is about 15.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does As Commercial Industrial Company pay a dividend?
As Commercial Industrial Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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