Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Ashiana Housing Limited ₹386, price ₹390, upside -1.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹101.60 – ₹444.91 · fair‑value band ₹238.95 – ₹581.64 · the ₹389.70 price screens above the ₹385.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Ashiana Housing Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in India. The company develops comfort, senior living, kid centric, elite, premium, and care homes.
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Ashiana Housing Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in India. The company develops comfort, senior living, kid centric, elite, premium, and care homes. It also provides rental and resale services for properties; and operates hotels and clubs, which includes rooms, food and beverages, restaurant, banquets, and other allied services. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) currently trades at ₹389.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹385.93, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹404.50 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹389.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹57.28, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹238.95 (bear) to ₹581.64 (bull), the price of ₹389.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ashiana Housing Limited reported revenue of ₹11.4B in FY2026 versus ₹2.0B in FY2022, a compound +53.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.2B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹38.3B (≈ $400M) · P/E ratio 32.5 · P/S ratio 3.35 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.98 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 14.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −1%, ASHIANA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹238.95Fair Value ₹385.93Bull ₹581.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹4.18 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+116.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+41.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+40.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 10%
2026 sits 340% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.5% a year for the price.
Compare Ashiana Housing Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−1.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets1.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth46.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹385.93 versus a price of ₹389.70, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ASHIANA?
Our model-based fair value for Ashiana Housing Limited is ₹385.93 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹389.70.
What is the quality score of ASHIANA?
Ashiana Housing Limited has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹385.93 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹238.95, optimistic scenario ₹581.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashiana Housing Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹385.93, about −1% upside versus a price of ₹389.70 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹238.95, optimistic scenario ₹581.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Ashiana Housing Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹11.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Ashiana Housing Limited pay a dividend?
Ashiana Housing Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ashiana Housing Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +6.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +37.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASHIANA use?
Our models discount Ashiana Housing Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ashiana Housing Limited that is +6.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ashiana Housing Limited grew +37.5 % a year. The price currently implies +6.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ashiana Housing Limited (+6.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.75 %: that much free cash flow Ashiana Housing Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashiana Housing Limited it is ₹385.93 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹389.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashiana Housing Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ASHIANA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹389.70, fair value ₹385.93, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASHIANA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹389.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹385.93). For Ashiana Housing Limited the two are ₹3.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashiana Housing Limited worth?
The market values Ashiana Housing Limited at about ₹38.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹389.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹385.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASHIANA?
Our models span a range for Ashiana Housing Limited: cautious scenario ₹238.95, base ₹385.93, optimistic ₹581.64 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹389.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASHIANA?
Ashiana Housing Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹385.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 26.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashiana Housing Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 14.5%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASHIANA from its 52-week high?
Ashiana Housing Limited trades at ₹389.70, about 4% below its 52-week high of ₹405.55 and 43% above the low of ₹272.18 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹385.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashiana Housing Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashiana Housing Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹389.70, calculated fair value ₹385.93 (−1%), Quality Score 65/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASHIANA calculated?
We run Ashiana Housing Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹385.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashiana Housing Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹389.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹385.93, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashiana Housing Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹238.95 to ₹581.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) come from?
Earnings per share at Ashiana Housing Limited grew −1.6 % a year from 2016 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin −9.7 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ashiana Housing Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The market capitalisation of Ashiana Housing Limited is ₹38.3B (≈ $400M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashiana Housing Limited is 3.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Earnings per share at Ashiana Housing Limited are ₹11.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The dividend yield of Ashiana Housing Limited is 0.9% (payout 29.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The net margin of Ashiana Housing Limited is 10.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashiana Housing Limited is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashiana Housing Limited is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
The operating margin of Ashiana Housing Limited is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Revenue at Ashiana Housing Limited is growing +46.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +41.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)?
Earnings per share at Ashiana Housing Limited are growing +6.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) hold?
Ashiana Housing Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹3.0B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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