Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹38.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹249.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹84.24 – ₹444.91 · fair‑value band ₹149.52 – ₹249.21 · the ₹380.80 price screens above the ₹199.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA) currently trades at ₹380.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹199.37, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ashiana Housing Limited generated revenue of ₹11.4B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 46.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹149.52 (bear case) to ₹249.21 (bull case); at ₹380.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -48%, ASHIANA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹433.89) versus Dividend Discount (₹40.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ashiana Housing Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in India. The company develops comfort, senior living, kid centric, elite, premium, and care homes.
Full company description
Ashiana Housing Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in India. The company develops comfort, senior living, kid centric, elite, premium, and care homes. It also provides rental and resale services for properties; and operates hotels and clubs, which includes rooms, food and beverages, restaurant, banquets, and other allied services. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Ashiana Housing Limited reported revenue of ₹11.4B in FY2026 versus ₹2.0B in FY2022, a compound +53.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.2B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +8.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ASHIANA screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Vinhomes Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 586 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 147,000 VND | 147,415 VND | +0% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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