Abacus Storage King (ASK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 4, 2026: fair value of Abacus Storage King A$0.89, price A$1.11, upside -19.8%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range A$0.8594 – A$1.56 · fair‑value band A$0.8900 – A$1.22 · the A$1.11 price screens above the A$0.8900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Abacus Storage King owns, operates, and manages a self-storage operating platform in Australia and New Zealand. The company is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Abacus Storage King (ASK) currently trades at A$1.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8900, 19.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of A$1.41 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the A$1.11 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$0.2600, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.8900 (bear) to A$1.22 (bull), the price of A$1.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Abacus Storage King reported revenue of A$247M in FY2026 versus A$168M in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$154M in FY2026, compounding +38.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.7B (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 3.15 · EPS (TTM) A$0.2200 · Dividend yield 5.6% · Net margin 62.5% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at −20%, ASK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.8900Fair Value A$0.8900Bull A$1.22
Price A$1.11 · Upside -19.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0416 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+27.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.8% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 52 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−19.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)116.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)45.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.58× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abacus Storage King Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASK.AU
Frequently asked questions
Is Abacus Storage King (ASK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.8900 versus the last price from Sep 4, 2026 of A$1.11, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASK?
Our model-based fair value for Abacus Storage King is A$0.8900 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 4, 2026): A$1.11.
What is the quality score of ASK?
Abacus Storage King has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.8900 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.8900, optimistic scenario A$1.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Abacus Storage King stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.8900, about −20% upside versus the last price from Sep 4, 2026 of A$1.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.8900, optimistic scenario A$1.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Abacus Storage King reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$251M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Abacus Storage King pay a dividend?
Abacus Storage King currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.59% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Abacus Storage King would have to grow free cash flow by +25.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASK use?
Our models discount Abacus Storage King at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Abacus Storage King that is +25.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Abacus Storage King (ASK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Abacus Storage King grew +16.7 % a year. The price currently implies +25.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Abacus Storage King (ASK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Abacus Storage King (+25.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.94 %: that much free cash flow Abacus Storage King produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abacus Storage King it is A$0.8900 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of A$1.11. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Abacus Storage King stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, ASK trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.11, fair value A$0.8900, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.8900). For Abacus Storage King the two are A$0.2200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abacus Storage King worth?
The market values Abacus Storage King at about A$1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is A$1.11; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.8900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASK?
Our models span a range for Abacus Storage King: cautious scenario A$0.8900, base A$0.8900, optimistic A$1.22 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price A$1.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASK?
Abacus Storage King trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.8900 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 17.8 (reported for FY2026: 9.5). Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 24.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abacus Storage King (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 13.0%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASK from its 52-week high?
Abacus Storage King trades at A$1.11, about 29% below its 52-week high of A$1.56 and at the low of A$1.11 (as of Sep 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.8900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abacus Storage King?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abacus Storage King stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price A$1.11, calculated fair value A$0.8900 (−20%), Quality Score 53/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASK calculated?
We run Abacus Storage King through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.8900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Abacus Storage King itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 4, 2026 and stands at A$1.11. Our model-based fair value is A$0.8900, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Abacus Storage King right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Abacus Storage King
How large is the market capitalisation of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The market capitalisation of Abacus Storage King is A$1.7B (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abacus Storage King is 3.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Earnings per share at Abacus Storage King are A$0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The dividend yield of Abacus Storage King is 5.6% (payout 52.9%, on adjusted earnings, reported 28.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The net margin of Abacus Storage King is 62.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abacus Storage King is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abacus Storage King is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
The operating margin of Abacus Storage King is 45.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Revenue at Abacus Storage King is growing +3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Abacus Storage King (ASK)?
Earnings per share at Abacus Storage King are growing +4.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Abacus Storage King (ASK) carry?
The net debt of Abacus Storage King is A$1.3B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 17.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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