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CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) (A17U) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 12.5B SGD

CA CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U · SG
Price2.53 SGD
Fair Value2.00 SGD
Upside-21.0%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 57.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.29% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range 1.50 SGD – 2.68 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.78 SGD 2.00 SGD Fair Value 2.00 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.00 SGD – 2.78 SGD · fair‑value band 1.50 SGD – 2.68 SGD · the 2.53 SGD price screens above the 2.00 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) (A17U) currently trades at 2.53 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.00 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) generated revenue of 925M SGD at a net margin of 57.5%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 7.1B SGD. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.50 SGD (bear case) to 2.68 SGD (bull case); at 2.53 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -21%, A17U screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.55 SGD 3.30 SGD 6.16 SGD 80
Residual Income 1.79 SGD 1.90 SGD 2.04 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 0.5700 SGD 0.8500 SGD 1.09 SGD 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.54 SGD 3.37 SGD 6.41 SGD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1400 SGD 0.6200 SGD 1.21 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.9300 SGD 2.19 SGD 3.70 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.21 SGD 2.74 SGD 4.43 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.5800 SGD 1.18 SGD 1.95 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.12 SGD 2.30 SGD 3.96 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.30 SGD 2.70 SGD 4.55 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.06 SGD 4.26 SGD 5.79 SGD 54
Lynch FV 1.06 SGD 1.51 SGD 1.97 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 1.06 SGD 1.51 SGD 1.97 SGD 46
EPV 0.5700 SGD 0.8500 SGD 1.09 SGD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.23 SGD 2.56 SGD 4.06 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.23 SGD 2.16 SGD 2.68 SGD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.34 SGD 3.12 SGD 3.90 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.5800 SGD 0.7700 SGD 0.9600 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 1.99 SGD 2.65 SGD 3.32 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 1.52 SGD 2.39 SGD 3.26 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 0.8000 SGD 1.43 SGD 2.05 SGD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.09 SGD 1.46 SGD 2.17 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.55 SGD 3.30 SGD 6.16 SGD 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.79 SGD 1.90 SGD 2.04 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 0.5700 SGD 0.8500 SGD 1.09 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.81 SGD 2.58 SGD 3.36 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (3.30 SGD) versus Economic Profit (0.8500 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 925M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin 57.5%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow 1.1B SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 68.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.1700 SGD
Dividend yield 6.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.8%
Net debt 7.1B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) is Singapore's first and largest listed business space and industrial real estate investment trust. It was listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) in November 2002.

Full company description

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) is Singapore's first and largest listed business space and industrial real estate investment trust. It was listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) in November 2002. CLAR has since grown to be a global REIT anchored in Singapore, with a strong focus on technology and logistics properties in developed markets. As of 31 December 2025, its investment properties under management stood at 18.2 billion US dollars. It owns a total of 226 properties across three segments, namely Business Space & Life Sciences; Industrial & Data Centres; and Logistics. These properties are in the developed markets of Singapore, Australia, the US, and the UK/Europe. These properties house a tenant base of 1,731 international and local companies from a wide range of industries and activities, including data centres, information technology, engineering, logistics and supply chain management, biomedical sciences, financial services (backroom office support), electronics, government and other manufacturing and services industries. Major tenants include Sea Group, DSO National Laboratories, Stripe, Entserve UK, Singtel, DHL, Seagate Singapore, DBS Bank and Citibank. CapitalLand Ascendas REIT was established on October 09, 2002 and was incorporated in 2002 in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) reported revenue of 1.5B SGD in FY2025 versus 1.2B SGD in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was 780M SGD in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B SGD
Latest YoY
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+15.4%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 1.2B SGD
FY22 1.4B SGD
FY23 1.5B SGD
FY24 1.5B SGD
FY25 1.5B SGD
Net income −5.0%/yr
FY21 957M SGD
FY22 760M SGD
FY23 168M SGD
FY24 764M SGD
FY25 780M SGD

A17U screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/A17U

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 58% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 69% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 5.74× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 5 · sector 5
FUTURE 30 · sector 19
PAST 29 · sector 27
HEALTH 74 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%
FIBRA Prologis FIBRAPL14 76.48 MXN 46.89 MXN -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) (A17U) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.00 SGD versus a price of 2.53 SGD, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of A17U?
Our model-based fair value for CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) is 2.00 SGD (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.53 SGD.
What is the quality score of A17U?
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) (A17U)?
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 925M SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of A17U?
The net profit margin of CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) is about 57.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 57.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) pay a dividend?
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.24% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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