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Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc (REXR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $7.7B

RI Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc logo Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR · US
Price$36.74
Fair Value$21.35
Upside-41.9%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.31% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/15)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $11.98 – $21.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$72.86 $30.13 Fair Value $21.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $30.13 – $72.86 · fair‑value band $11.98 – $21.35 · the $36.74 price screens above the $21.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc (REXR) currently trades at $36.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.35, implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc generated revenue of $996M at a net margin of 23.3%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at $3.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.98 (bear case) to $21.35 (bull case); at $36.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -42%, REXR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.1400 $11.15 $32.71 80
Residual Income $26.33 $25.10 $20.05 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $20.04 $52.56 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.03 $8.97 $33.70 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.67 $15.82 $43.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.58 $50.01 $109.84 41
10Y Revenue Exit $1.76 $22.83 $37.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.49 $58.41 $137.99 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $11.98 $15.97 $19.96 58
P/B Multiple $11.98 $15.97 $19.96 55
EV/EBIT $14.15 $23.43 $32.70 53
EV/EBITDA $25.67 $38.79 $51.90 54
EV/Revenue $1.67 $8.25 $14.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.74 $25.11 $37.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1400 $11.15 $32.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $20.04 $52.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.33 $25.10 $20.05 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($25.11) versus Growth DCF ($11.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $996M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.9%
Net margin 23.3%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow $209M FY2025
P/E ratio 35.2
More key figures
Operating margin 41.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.9400
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.0%
Net debt $3.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 8
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. creates value by investing in, operating and repositioning industrial properties throughout infill Southern California, the world's fourth largest industrial market and consistently the highest-demand with lowest-supply major market in the nation over the long term.

Full company description

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. creates value by investing in, operating and repositioning industrial properties throughout infill Southern California, the world's fourth largest industrial market and consistently the highest-demand with lowest-supply major market in the nation over the long term. The Company's highly differentiated strategy enables internal and external growth opportunities through its proprietary value creation and asset management capabilities. Rexford Industrial's high-quality, irreplaceable portfolio comprised 419 properties with approximately 51.2 million rentable square feet occupied by a stable and diverse tenant base. Structured as a real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Rexford Industrial is an S&P MidCap 400 Index member. Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. was incorporated on January 18th, 2013 and is based in Los Angeles, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $452M in FY2021, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was $212M in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0B
Latest YoY
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.9%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+29.2%
Revenue +22.0%/yr
FY21 $452M
FY22 $631M
FY23 $798M
FY24 $936M
FY25 $1.0B
Net income +13.4%/yr
FY21 $128M
FY22 $168M
FY23 $238M
FY24 $274M
FY25 $212M

REXR screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REXR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.38× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.69× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 36.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.88× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 11 · sector 27
HEALTH 81 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 86/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%
FIBRA Prologis FIBRAPL14 76.48 MXN 46.89 MXN -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc (REXR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.35 versus a price of $36.74, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REXR?
Our model-based fair value for Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc is $21.35 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $36.74.
What is the quality score of REXR?
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc (REXR)?
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $996M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of REXR?
The net profit margin of Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc is about 23.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc pay a dividend?
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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