Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd $1.91, price $6.04, upside -68.3%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4219 – $11.24 · fair‑value band $1.03 – $2.88 · the $6.04 price screens above the $1.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Mexico. It explores for silver, gold, copper, and base metal deposits.
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Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Mexico. It explores for silver, gold, copper, and base metal deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Avino Mine area property covering an area of approximately 4,086.93 hectares comprising 42 mineral claims and leases 4 mineral claims, which is located in the state of Durango, Mexico. It also has an option to acquire 100% interest in the Ana Maria and El Laberinto properties located in Mexico. The company was formerly known as International Avino Mines Ltd. and changed its name to Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. in August 1997. Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM) currently trades at $6.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.91, implying the stock looks roughly 215.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $6.87 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $6.04 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.7900, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.03 (bear) to $2.88 (bull), the price of $6.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd reported revenue of $86.7M in FY2025 versus $11.2M in FY2021, a compound +66.7%/yr. Reported net income was $27.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 23.2 · P/S ratio 7.27 · EPS (TTM) $0.2600 · Net margin 31.3% · Return on equity 21.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 34.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −68%, ASM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.03Fair Value $1.91Bull $2.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1902 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +19.2% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29.1% (2020) → 33.9% (2025)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Above median
Fair Value upside−68% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)38% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)34% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.2× · Pricier than median
P/B4.54× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)9.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF926.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA16.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)84· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.91 versus a price of $6.04, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASM?
Our model-based fair value for Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is $1.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.04.
What is the quality score of ASM?
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.03, optimistic scenario $2.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.91, about −68% upside versus a price of $6.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.03, optimistic scenario $2.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $118M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASM use?
Our models discount Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 3.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd grew +40.2 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.11 %: that much free cash flow Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd it is $1.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.04. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ASM trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.04, fair value $1.91, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.91). For Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd the two are $4.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd worth?
The market values Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.04; our models calculate a fair value of $1.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASM?
Our models span a range for Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd: cautious scenario $1.03, base $1.91, optimistic $2.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASM?
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 9.0, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASM from its 52-week high?
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd trades at $6.04, about 46% below its 52-week high of $11.24 and 46% above the low of $4.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.04, calculated fair value $1.91 (−68%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASM calculated?
We run Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $6.04. Our model-based fair value is $1.91, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($1.03 to $2.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The market capitalisation of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is 7.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Earnings per share at Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd are $0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The net margin of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is 31.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is 21.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
The operating margin of Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is 34.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Revenue at Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd is growing +22.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM)?
Earnings per share at Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd are growing +202% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd (ASM) hold?
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd holds more cash than debt, $95.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026