Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL THB 1.53, price THB 2.38, upside -35.7%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.78 THB – 2.96 THB · fair‑value band 1.53 THB – 1.56 THB · the 2.38 THB price screens above the 1.53 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Asia Plus Group Holdings Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the securities business in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Securities and Derivatives Brokerage, Investment Banking, Fund Management, and Investment Trading.
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Asia Plus Group Holdings Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the securities business in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Securities and Derivatives Brokerage, Investment Banking, Fund Management, and Investment Trading. The company offers securities and derivatives brokering services for local and foreign investors; securities brokerage, securities trading, investment advisory, underwriting, securities borrowing and lending, private fund management, mutual fund management, and venture capital management services. It also invests in unit trusts; and buys, sells, and exchanges securities. The company was formerly known as Asia Plus Group Holdings Securities Public Company Limited and changed its name to Asia Plus Group Holdings Public Company Limited in July 2015. Asia Plus Group Holdings Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) currently trades at 2.38 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.53 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 7.12 THB per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the 2.38 THB price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.6200 THB, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.53 THB (bear) to 1.56 THB (bull), the price of 2.38 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL reported revenue of 1.9B THB in FY2025 versus 3.4B THB in FY2021, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was 196M THB in FY2025, compounding −33.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.0B THB (≈ $149M) · P/E ratio 18.3 · P/S ratio 1.92 · EPS (TTM) 0.1300 THB · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 10.5% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −36%, ASP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.53 THBFair Value 1.53 THBBull 1.56 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0294 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14% vs −13%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.8% a year for the price.
Compare Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 458 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−36% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)13% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.29× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG0.08× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 85
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)76· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASP
Frequently asked questions
Is Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.53 THB versus a price of 2.38 THB, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASP?
Our model-based fair value for Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 1.53 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.38 THB.
What is the quality score of ASP?
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.53 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.53 THB, optimistic scenario 1.56 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.53 THB, about −36% upside versus a price of 2.38 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.53 THB, optimistic scenario 1.56 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL pay a dividend?
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL would have to grow free cash flow by -14.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASP use?
Our models discount Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.37, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL that is -14.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL grew -1.8 % a year. The price currently implies -14.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (-14.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 30.20 %: that much free cash flow Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL it is 1.53 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.38 THB. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ASP trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.38 THB, fair value 1.53 THB, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.38 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.53 THB). For Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL the two are 0.8500 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL worth?
The market values Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL at about 5.0B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.38 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.53 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASP?
Our models span a range for Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL: cautious scenario 1.53 THB, base 1.53 THB, optimistic 1.56 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.38 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASP?
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.53 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 1.1, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
What is the PEG ratio of ASP?
The PEG ratio of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 0.08 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASP from its 52-week high?
Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL trades at 2.38 THB, about 11% below its 52-week high of 2.66 THB and 25% above the low of 1.90 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.53 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.38 THB, calculated fair value 1.53 THB (−36%), Quality Score 67/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASP calculated?
We run Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.53 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 2.38 THB. Our model-based fair value is 1.53 THB, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.56 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (1.53 THB to 1.56 THB), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) come from?
Earnings per share at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL grew −8.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.7 %, EBIT margin −7.1 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The market capitalisation of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 5.0B THB (≈ $149M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 1.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Earnings per share at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL are 0.1300 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The dividend yield of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 3.8% (payout 69.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The net margin of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 10.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
The operating margin of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Revenue at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP)?
Earnings per share at Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL are growing +22.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL (ASP) carry?
The net debt of Asia Plus Group Holdings PCL is 2.5B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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