Aspen Group (ASPU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $9.8M
Aspen Group
ASPU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +18.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.1628 to $0.4919). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0003 – $7.37 · fair‑value band $0.1628 – $0.4919 · the $0.3262 price screens above the $0.3251 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Aspen Group (ASPU) currently trades at $0.3262, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3251, implying the stock looks roughly 0.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aspen Group generated revenue of $44.6M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at $29.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1628 (bear case) to $0.4919 (bull case); at $0.3262, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 0%, ASPU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($3.60) versus Asset-Based ($0.7600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Notify me when ASPU reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aspen Group, Inc., an education technology company, provides online higher education services in the United States. The company offers associates, bachelor's, master's, and doctoral degree programs in nursing and health sciences, business and technology, and education fields through Aspen University and United States University.
Full company description
Aspen Group, Inc., an education technology company, provides online higher education services in the United States. The company offers associates, bachelor's, master's, and doctoral degree programs in nursing and health sciences, business and technology, and education fields through Aspen University and United States University. As of April 30, 2025, 4,860 of 5,809 or 84% of all active students across both universities are degree-seeking nursing students. Aspen Group, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
Aspen Group reported revenue of $66.3M in FY2023 versus $34.0M in FY2019, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.3M in FY2023.
Watch ASPU: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
Compare Aspen Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Aspen Group (ASPU) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ASPU?
What is the quality score of ASPU?
What is the revenue of Aspen Group (ASPU)?
What is the net profit margin of ASPU?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Aspen Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.