PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk (ASRI) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 2.4T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 280.00 IDR to 307.50 IDR (+9.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 150% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (307.50 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 95.72 IDR – 258.55 IDR · fair‑value band 307.50 IDR – 451.85 IDR · the 123.00 IDR price screens below the 307.50 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk (ASRI) currently trades at 123.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 307.50 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk generated revenue of 3.0T IDR at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at 5.3T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 307.50 IDR (bear case) to 451.85 IDR (bull case); at 123.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 150%, ASRI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (746.70 IDR) versus Asset-Based (393.09 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk operates as a property development company in Indonesia. The company engages in the construction and management of residential and commercial areas, as well as management of shopping centers, leisure centers, and hotels.
Full company description
PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk operates as a property development company in Indonesia. The company engages in the construction and management of residential and commercial areas, as well as management of shopping centers, leisure centers, and hotels. It is also involved in the provision of building management, consultancy, and investment, as well as provision of support and tourism services, goods sales, organizing art events, and real estate activities. The company was formerly known as PT Adhihutama Manunggal and changed its name to PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk in September 2007. PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk reported revenue of 2.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 313B IDR in FY2025, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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