Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Astec Industries Inc stock $19.42, price $35.71, that is 45.6% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Astec Industries Inc
ASTE · USOur calculation puts a fair price 46% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $27.92 – $70.09 · fair‑value band $7.94 – $31.23 · the $35.71 price screens above the $19.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Company profile
Astec Industries, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and services equipment and components used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure Solutions and Materials Solutions.
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The Infrastructure Solutions segment offers asphalt plants, cold central plant recycles systems, and soil remediation plants; concrete batch plants, liquid asphalt terminals, and thermal fluid heaters; asphalt pavers, material transfer vehicles, and milling machines; and industrial automation controls and telematics platforms, as well as engineering and environmental permitting, various plants components, polymer plants, heat recovery units, industrial and asphalt burners and systems, wood chippers and grinders, and blower trucks and trailers,. The Materials Solutions segment offers jaw, cone, heavy-duty, and mining-application crushers; horizontal and vertical shaft impactors; incline, multi-frequency and high frequency, horizontal, and dewatering screens; washing and classifying plants, fines recovery systems, and water clarification systems; radial and telescoping conveyors, pugmills, truck unloaders, hopper feeders ship loaders and unloaders, and bulk receptions feeders; and Rock breaker systems, hydraulic breakers, compactors, and pulverizers.
It provides its products to asphalt or concrete producers; highway and heavy equipment contractors; utility contractors; sand and gravel producers; construction, demolition, recycle and crushing contractors; forestry and environmental recycling contractors; mine and quarry operators; port and inland terminal authorities; power stations; and domestic and foreign government agencies.
The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) currently trades at $35.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.42, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $35.86 per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the $35.71 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.69, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.94 (bear) to $31.23 (bull), the price of $35.71 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Astec Industries Inc reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $38.8M in FY2025, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $832M Small · P/E ratio 71.4 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) $0.5000 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −46%, ASTE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
- SaleEdward Terrell Gilbert JrGC & CORPORATE SECRETARY975 shares at $61.07$59,543Mar 3, 2026
Plus 31 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
ASTE screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Compare Astec Industries Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 146 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Revenue growth by industry
- PEG ratio by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$34.98 | HK$56.97 | +63% | vs ASTE |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥7.17 | ¥9.74 | +36% | vs ASTE |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €40.49 | €49.89 | +23% | vs ASTE |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $101.98 | $112.18 | +10% | vs ASTE |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥19.50 | ¥21.45 | +10% | vs ASTE |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €16.99 | €18.69 | +10% | vs ASTE |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €33.78 | €32.85 | −3% | vs ASTE |
| CNH Industrial N.V CNH | $11.56 | $8.65 | −25% | vs ASTE |
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $558.63 | $283.68 | −49% | vs ASTE |
| Deere & Company DE | $671.65 | $263.46 | −61% | vs ASTE |
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Key figures of Astec Industries Inc
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