Amtech Systems, Inc (ASYS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $374M
Amtech Systems, Inc
ASYS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $9.16 to $5.06 (−44.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.51 to $6.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.35 – $23.99 · fair‑value band $3.51 – $6.60 · the $15.53 price screens above the $5.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Amtech Systems, Inc (ASYS) currently trades at $15.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.06, implying the stock looks roughly 67.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Amtech Systems, Inc generated revenue of $78.8M at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 31.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. Net debt stands at $1.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.51 (bear case) to $6.60 (bull case); at $15.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 295% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -67%, ASYS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($6.71) versus Asset-Based ($2.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Amtech Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells capital equipment and related consumables for use in fabricating and packaging semiconductor devices in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Singapore, the Czech Republic, Austria, Hungary, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally.
Full company description
Amtech Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells capital equipment and related consumables for use in fabricating and packaging semiconductor devices in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Singapore, the Czech Republic, Austria, Hungary, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Thermal Processing Solutions and Semiconductor Fabrication Solutions segments. The company offers thermal processing equipment for use in solder reflow operations for advanced semiconductor packaging and electronics assembly; belt furnaces for producing power semiconductor packaging substrates and electronic components; and horizontal diffusion furnaces for use in wafer processing. It also provides double-sided wafer cleaning systems, entegrity head testers, substrate carriers, substrate polishing templates, substrate process chemicals, wafer processing lubricants, and coolants under the Entrepix, PR Hoffman, and Intersurface Dynamics brands. In addition, the company offers, and entegrity head tester, and CMP parts and service. The company sells its products to semiconductor substrate, device, and electronic assembly manufacturers, as well as ceramics and optics industries through sales personnel and a network of independent sales representatives and distributors. Amtech Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Amtech Systems, Inc reported revenue of $79.4M in FY2025 versus $85.2M in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$30.3M in FY2025.
ASYS screens 67% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Amtech Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
- Amtech's Healthy Backlog Builds: Is Revenue Visibility Improving?
- AMKR vs. ASYS: Which Semiconductor Packaging Stock is the Better Buy?
- Amtech, Semtech, Nova, Power Integrations, and FormFactor Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 212 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥350.69 | ¥41.79 | -88% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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