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Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Amtech Systems Inc $5.17, price $15.43, upside -66.5%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US0323325045

AS Amtech Systems Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Amtech Systems Inc

ASYS · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $5.17 · Strongly overvalued (−66%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$23.99 $3.35 Fair Value $5.17 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.35 – $23.99 · fair‑value band $3.76 – $6.91 · the $15.43 price screens above the $5.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Amtech Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells capital equipment and related consumables for use in fabricating and packaging semiconductor devices in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Singapore, the Czech Republic, Austria, Hungary, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally.

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Amtech Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells capital equipment and related consumables for use in fabricating and packaging semiconductor devices in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Singapore, the Czech Republic, Austria, Hungary, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Thermal Processing Solutions and Semiconductor Fabrication Solutions segments. The company offers thermal processing equipment for use in solder reflow operations for advanced semiconductor packaging and electronics assembly; belt furnaces for producing power semiconductor packaging substrates and electronic components; and horizontal diffusion furnaces for use in wafer processing. It also provides double-sided wafer cleaning systems, entegrity head testers, substrate carriers, substrate polishing templates, substrate process chemicals, wafer processing lubricants, and coolants under the Entrepix, PR Hoffman, and Intersurface Dynamics brands. In addition, the company offers, and entegrity head tester, and CMP parts and service. The company sells its products to semiconductor substrate, device, and electronic assembly manufacturers, as well as ceramics and optics industries through sales personnel and a network of independent sales representatives and distributors. Amtech Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

Stock analysis

Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS) currently trades at $15.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.17, implying the stock looks roughly 198.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $6.71 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $15.43 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.05, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.76 (bear) to $6.91 (bull), the price of $15.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Amtech Systems Inc reported revenue of $79.4M in FY2025 versus $85.2M in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$30.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $374M · P/E ratio 85.7 · P/S ratio 4.74 · EPS (TTM) $0.1800 · Net margin −38.2% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.2% · Operating margin 8.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −66%, ASYS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.76 Fair Value $5.17 Bull $6.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1775 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.62 $7.11 $10.79 80
Growth DCF $4.58 $6.81 $9.93 78
5Y Revenue Exit $4.26 $6.71 $9.96 72
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.62 $7.11 $10.79 80
5Y Revenue Exit $4.26 $6.71 $9.96 72
10Y Revenue Exit $4.25 $6.47 $9.71 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue $4.15 $5.69 $7.24 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.53 $2.05 $3.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.58 $6.81 $9.93 78
Rev-Margin DCF $4.26 $6.68 $9.73 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.7% a year
Revenue growth 38 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.7% (2020) → −35.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.6% a year for the price.

ASYS screens 198% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 219 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −67% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 31% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 85.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.00× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 54.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 44.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.37× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 69
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,507 €1,350 −10%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $472.46 $370.20 −22%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $310.96 $205.76 −34%
KLA Corporation KLAC $188.32 $149.08 −21%
Teradyne, Inc TER $389.14 $66.11 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥349.35 ¥117.08 −66%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥730.30 ¥322.24 −56%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥133.57 ¥13.84 −90%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.86 $70.44 −44%

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$5.17 −198%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Amtech Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASYS

Frequently asked questions

Is Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.17 versus a price of $15.43, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASYS?
Our model-based fair value for Amtech Systems Inc is $5.17 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.43.
What is the quality score of ASYS?
Amtech Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.17 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.76, optimistic scenario $6.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Amtech Systems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.17, about −66% upside versus a price of $15.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.76, optimistic scenario $6.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Amtech Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $78.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Amtech Systems Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +27.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASYS use?
Our models discount Amtech Systems Inc at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Amtech Systems Inc that is +27.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Amtech Systems Inc grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies +27.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Amtech Systems Inc (+27.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.14 %: that much free cash flow Amtech Systems Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Amtech Systems Inc it is $5.17 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $15.43. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Amtech Systems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ASYS trades above its calculated fair value: price $15.43, fair value $5.17, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASYS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.17). For Amtech Systems Inc the two are $10.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Amtech Systems Inc worth?
The market values Amtech Systems Inc at about $374M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $15.43; our models calculate a fair value of $5.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASYS?
Our models span a range for Amtech Systems Inc: cautious scenario $3.76, base $5.17, optimistic $6.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $15.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASYS?
Amtech Systems Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 85.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 7.0, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 44.5.
What is the PEG ratio of ASYS?
The PEG ratio of Amtech Systems Inc is 0.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Amtech Systems Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASYS from its 52-week high?
Amtech Systems Inc trades at $15.43, about 36% below its 52-week high of $23.99 and 119% above the low of $7.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Amtech Systems Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Amtech Systems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $15.43, calculated fair value $5.17 (−66%), Quality Score 58/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASYS calculated?
We run Amtech Systems Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Amtech Systems Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $15.43. Our model-based fair value is $5.17, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Amtech Systems Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($3.76 to $6.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Amtech Systems Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The market capitalisation of Amtech Systems Inc is $374M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Amtech Systems Inc is 4.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Earnings per share at Amtech Systems Inc are $0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 85.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The net margin of Amtech Systems Inc is −38.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Amtech Systems Inc is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Amtech Systems Inc is −6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
The operating margin of Amtech Systems Inc is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Revenue at Amtech Systems Inc is growing +31.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS)?
Earnings per share at Amtech Systems Inc are growing −62.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Amtech Systems Inc (ASYS) carry?
The net debt of Amtech Systems Inc is $1.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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