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AtlasClear Holdings (ATCH) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $30.7M

AH AtlasClear Holdings logo AtlasClear Holdings ATCH · US
Price$0.1814
Fair Value$0.1700
Upside-6.3%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.1275 – $0.2125 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$686.40 $0.1500 Fair Value $0.1700 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1500 – $686.40 · fair‑value band $0.1275 – $0.2125 · the $0.1814 price screens above the $0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

AtlasClear Holdings (ATCH) currently trades at $0.1814, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 6.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, AtlasClear Holdings generated revenue of $16.3M at a net margin of 16.8%. Revenue grew 65.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 66.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1275 (bear case) to $0.2125 (bull case); at $0.1814, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -6%, ATCH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $0.1800 $0.2300 $0.2900 63
Residual Income $0.1100 $0.1100 $0.1100 61
P/B Multiple $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.2500 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.3800 $0.6100 $1.01 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0800 $0.5600 $0.7800 54
Lynch FV $0.2900 $0.4100 $0.5300 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.1800 $0.2300 $0.2900 63
P/B Multiple $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.2500 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1400 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1100 $0.1100 $0.1100 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.6100) versus Asset-Based ($0.1000). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $16.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +65.2%
Net margin 16.8%
Return on equity 66.0%
Free cash flow −$190K FY2025
Operating margin -24.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-6.61
Net cash $8.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology enabled financial services firm. It creates a platform for trading, clearing, settlement, and banking of financial products, such as crypto for financial services firms.

Full company description

AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology enabled financial services firm. It creates a platform for trading, clearing, settlement, and banking of financial products, such as crypto for financial services firms. The company offers fintech assets, including AtlasFX and Rubicon, an order management system and trading application for the automated management of currency exchange; SURFACExchange, a multi-lateral trading platform for over the counter spot and options FX trading; and BondQuantum, a real time advance analytical program for the analysis of bonds. It also engages in the provision of back and middle office solutions; and securities broker and dealer, as well as dealing in over-the-counter and listed securities. AtlasClear Holdings, Inc. is based in Tampa, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AtlasClear Holdings reported revenue of $14.6M in FY2025 versus $13.3M in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$14.6M
Latest YoY
+34.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.2%
Revenue +2.4%/yr
FY21 $13.3M
FY22 $9.1M
FY23 $4.0M
FY24 $10.9M
FY25 $14.6M
Net income
FY20 −$21.7K
FY21 $1.5M
FY22 $131K
FY23 −$120M
FY25 $1.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AtlasClear Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATCH

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 65% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 99 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

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NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AtlasClear Holdings (ATCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1700 versus a price of $0.1814, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ATCH?
Our model-based fair value for AtlasClear Holdings is $0.1700 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1814.
What is the quality score of ATCH?
AtlasClear Holdings has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AtlasClear Holdings (ATCH)?
AtlasClear Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATCH?
The net profit margin of AtlasClear Holdings is about 16.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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