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A10 Network (ATEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of A10 Network $12.39, price $26.75, upside -53.7%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US0021211018

AN A10 Network logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

A10 Network

ATEN · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $12.39 · Strongly overvalued (−54%)
Quality 65/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·0.90% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Weak on dividend: 18 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$38.11 $9.65 Fair Value $12.39 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.65 – $38.11 · fair‑value band $7.74 – $17.27 · the $26.75 price screens above the $12.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

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A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers security products, such as ThreatX, a web application protection platform; A10 Defend DDoS Detector, a network-wide anomaly detection product; A10 Defend DDoS Orchestrator, a defense, orchestration, and management product; A10 Defend DDoS Mitigator, a mitigation product with automation; A10 Defend Threat Control, an attack SaaS platform; and Defend Next-Gen WAF, an integrated application delivery and web application firewall. It also provides infrastructure products, including A10 Thunder ADC, an application delivery controller and load balancer; A10 Thunder CFW, a consolidated network security platform with stateful firewall, IPsec VPN, CGN, ADC, SSLi, and secure web gateway; A10 Thunder CGN, a NAT, IPv4 preservation and IPv6 migration product; and SSL insight in Thunder CFW, a TLS and SSL decryption for real-time visibility into encryption traffic under the SSLi brand. In addition, the company provides centralized management and analytics comprising A10 Control, a centralized, management, control, and analytics platform for agile operations and automation. It serves telecommunications, technology, financial services, public sector, industrial, retail, gaming, and education industries through distribution channels, distributors, value added resellers, and system integrators. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Stock analysis

A10 Network (ATEN) currently trades at $26.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.39, implying the stock looks roughly 115.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $13.74 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $26.75 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.97, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $7.74 (bear) to $17.27 (bull), the price of $26.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

A10 Network reported revenue of $291M in FY2025 versus $250M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $42.1M in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $2.7B · P/E ratio 43.9 · P/S ratio 6.36 · EPS (TTM) $0.6100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 14.5% · Return on equity 21.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −54%, ATEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.74 Fair Value $12.39 Bull $17.27
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2707 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $8.17 $13.10 $20.15 79
Growth DCF $8.35 $12.77 $18.72 78
Owner Earnings $4.08 $7.04 $11.27 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.17 $13.10 $20.15 79
Owner Earnings $4.08 $7.04 $11.27 75
5Y Revenue Exit $5.27 $8.65 $12.82 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.20 $14.03 $20.69 74
5Y P/E Exit $8.57 $14.72 $21.02 70
10Y Revenue Exit $6.10 $9.36 $13.47 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.09 $12.98 $19.24 68
10Y P/E Exit $8.31 $13.44 $19.48 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.98 $11.27 $14.85 65
Lynch FV $2.29 $3.28 $4.26 61
PEG = 1.0 $2.29 $3.28 $4.26 57
EPV $2.60 $3.34 $3.97 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.12 $4.22 $6.39 67
DDM Multi-Stage $2.12 $3.31 $4.46 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.29 $16.39 $20.48 63
P/S Multiple $7.46 $9.95 $12.44 58
P/B Multiple $7.46 $9.95 $12.44 55
EV/EBIT $9.74 $13.66 $17.59 65
EV/EBITDA $9.57 $13.45 $17.33 67
EV/Revenue $3.91 $6.46 $9.01 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.47 $1.97 $2.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.35 $12.77 $18.72 78
Rev-Margin DCF $5.27 $8.77 $12.74 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.63 $4.70 $15.15 64
ROIC Compounder $2.60 $3.53 $4.77 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.62 $13.74 $17.86 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.9% a year
Revenue growth 14 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 16%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.2% a year for the price and +7.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.2%

ATEN screens 116% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.03× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 12.65× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 8.94× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 41.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 42.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG 14.76× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)67 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)86 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)48 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $498.00 $547.80 +10%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $149.20 $117.84 −21%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $184.99 $43.02 −77%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $374.57 $114.50 −69%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $250.06 $35.15 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $174.26 $164.92 −5%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $409.24 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $77.53 $101.29 +31%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.76 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "A10 Network Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATEN

Frequently asked questions

Is A10 Network (ATEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.39 versus a price of $26.75, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATEN?
Our model-based fair value for A10 Network is $12.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.75.
What is the quality score of ATEN?
A10 Network has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for A10 Network (ATEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.74, optimistic scenario $17.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the A10 Network stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.39, about −54% upside versus a price of $26.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.74, optimistic scenario $17.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of A10 Network (ATEN)?
A10 Network reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $299M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does A10 Network pay a dividend?
A10 Network currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into A10 Network (ATEN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, A10 Network would have to grow free cash flow by +16.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATEN use?
Our models discount A10 Network at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For A10 Network that is +16.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has A10 Network (ATEN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at A10 Network grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies +16.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of A10 Network (ATEN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into A10 Network (+16.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.29 %: that much free cash flow A10 Network produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of A10 Network (ATEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For A10 Network it is $12.39 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $26.75. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is A10 Network stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ATEN trades above its calculated fair value: price $26.75, fair value $12.39, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.39). For A10 Network the two are $14.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is A10 Network worth?
The market values A10 Network at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $26.75; our models calculate a fair value of $12.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATEN?
Our models span a range for A10 Network: cautious scenario $7.74, base $12.39, optimistic $17.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $26.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATEN?
A10 Network trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 14.8, P/B 12.7, P/S 8.9, EV/EBITDA 42.6.
What is the PEG ratio of ATEN?
The PEG ratio of A10 Network is 14.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of A10 Network (ATEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for A10 Network (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.4%, debt of 1.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATEN from its 52-week high?
A10 Network trades at $26.75, about 30% below its 52-week high of $38.11 and 62% above the low of $16.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to A10 Network?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is A10 Network stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $26.75, calculated fair value $12.39 (−54%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATEN calculated?
We run A10 Network through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. A10 Network itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $26.75. Our model-based fair value is $12.39, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with A10 Network right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.74 to $17.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of A10 Network

How large is the market capitalisation of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The market capitalisation of A10 Network is $2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of A10 Network is 6.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of A10 Network (ATEN)?
Earnings per share at A10 Network are $0.6100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The dividend yield of A10 Network is 0.9% (payout 39.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The net margin of A10 Network is 14.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of A10 Network is 21.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of A10 Network (ATEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of A10 Network is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of A10 Network (ATEN)?
The operating margin of A10 Network is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at A10 Network (ATEN)?
Revenue at A10 Network is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at A10 Network (ATEN)?
Earnings per share at A10 Network are growing +29.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does A10 Network (ATEN) carry?
The net debt of A10 Network is $151M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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