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A10 Networks, Inc (ATEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.7B

AN A10 Networks, Inc logo A10 Networks, Inc ATEN · US
Price$26.84
Fair Value$9.68
Upside-63.9%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $6.24 – $12.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −27.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.24 to $12.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$38.11 $8.14 Fair Value $9.68 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.14 – $38.11 · fair‑value band $6.24 – $12.44 · the $26.84 price screens above the $9.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

A10 Networks, Inc (ATEN) currently trades at $26.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.68, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, A10 Networks, Inc generated revenue of $299M at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.4%. Net debt stands at $151M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.24 (bear case) to $12.44 (bull case); at $26.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -64%, ATEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.61 $11.71 $17.25 80
Residual Income $3.63 $4.70 $15.15 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.00 $8.46 $12.37 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.44 $12.02 $18.57 38
Owner Earnings $3.35 $5.96 $9.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.00 $8.36 $12.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.13 $10.42 $15.30 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.34 $10.82 $15.39 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.67 $8.86 $12.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.53 $10.25 $14.95 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.67 $10.51 $15.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.98 $11.27 $14.85 54
Lynch FV $2.29 $3.28 $4.26 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.29 $3.28 $4.26 46
EPV $2.60 $3.34 $3.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.12 $4.22 $6.39 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.12 $3.31 $4.46 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.78 $11.71 $14.63 63
P/S Multiple $7.46 $9.95 $12.44 58
P/B Multiple $6.61 $8.81 $11.02 55
EV/EBIT $6.79 $9.74 $12.68 53
EV/EBITDA $6.35 $9.14 $11.94 54
EV/Revenue $3.91 $6.46 $9.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.47 $1.97 $2.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.61 $11.71 $17.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.00 $8.46 $12.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.63 $4.70 $15.15 76
ROIC Compounder $2.60 $3.53 $4.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.07 $10.09 $13.12 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.25) versus Asset-Based ($1.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $299M
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net margin 14.9%
Return on equity 21.4%
Free cash flow $64.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 60.9
More key figures
Operating margin 17.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.6100
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.4%
Net debt $151M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Full company description

A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers security products, such as ThreatX, a web application protection platform; A10 Defend DDoS Detector, a network-wide anomaly detection product; A10 Defend DDoS Orchestrator, a defense, orchestration, and management product; A10 Defend DDoS Mitigator, a mitigation product with automation; A10 Defend Threat Control, an attack SaaS platform; and Defend Next-Gen WAF, an integrated application delivery and web application firewall. It also provides infrastructure products, including A10 Thunder ADC, an application delivery controller and load balancer; A10 Thunder CFW, a consolidated network security platform with stateful firewall, IPsec VPN, CGN, ADC, SSLi, and secure web gateway; A10 Thunder CGN, a NAT, IPv4 preservation and IPv6 migration product; and SSL insight in Thunder CFW, a TLS and SSL decryption for real-time visibility into encryption traffic under the SSLi brand. In addition, the company provides centralized management and analytics comprising A10 Control, a centralized, management, control, and analytics platform for agile operations and automation. It serves telecommunications, technology, financial services, public sector, industrial, retail, gaming, and education industries through distribution channels, distributors, value added resellers, and system integrators. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

A10 Networks, Inc reported revenue of $291M in FY2025 versus $250M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $42.1M in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$291M
Latest YoY
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+8.6%
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 $250M
FY22 $280M
FY23 $252M
FY24 $262M
FY25 $291M
Net income −18.4%/yr
FY21 $94.9M
FY22 $46.9M
FY23 $40.0M
FY24 $50.1M
FY25 $42.1M

ATEN screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "A10 Networks, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATEN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 60.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 12.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 41.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 42.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 14.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 67 · sector 46
PAST 86 · sector 15
HEALTH 48 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is A10 Networks, Inc (ATEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.68 versus a price of $26.84, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATEN?
Our model-based fair value for A10 Networks, Inc is $9.68 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.84.
What is the quality score of ATEN?
A10 Networks, Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of A10 Networks, Inc (ATEN)?
A10 Networks, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $299M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATEN?
The net profit margin of A10 Networks, Inc is about 14.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does A10 Networks, Inc pay a dividend?
A10 Networks, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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