A10 Networks, Inc (ATEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −27.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($6.24 to $12.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.14 – $38.11 · fair‑value band $6.24 – $12.44 · the $26.84 price screens above the $9.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
A10 Networks, Inc (ATEN) currently trades at $26.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.68, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, A10 Networks, Inc generated revenue of $299M at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.4%. Net debt stands at $151M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.24 (bear case) to $12.44 (bull case); at $26.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -64%, ATEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.25) versus Asset-Based ($1.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
Full company description
A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers security products, such as ThreatX, a web application protection platform; A10 Defend DDoS Detector, a network-wide anomaly detection product; A10 Defend DDoS Orchestrator, a defense, orchestration, and management product; A10 Defend DDoS Mitigator, a mitigation product with automation; A10 Defend Threat Control, an attack SaaS platform; and Defend Next-Gen WAF, an integrated application delivery and web application firewall. It also provides infrastructure products, including A10 Thunder ADC, an application delivery controller and load balancer; A10 Thunder CFW, a consolidated network security platform with stateful firewall, IPsec VPN, CGN, ADC, SSLi, and secure web gateway; A10 Thunder CGN, a NAT, IPv4 preservation and IPv6 migration product; and SSL insight in Thunder CFW, a TLS and SSL decryption for real-time visibility into encryption traffic under the SSLi brand. In addition, the company provides centralized management and analytics comprising A10 Control, a centralized, management, control, and analytics platform for agile operations and automation. It serves telecommunications, technology, financial services, public sector, industrial, retail, gaming, and education industries through distribution channels, distributors, value added resellers, and system integrators. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
A10 Networks, Inc reported revenue of $291M in FY2025 versus $250M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $42.1M in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.
ATEN screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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