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Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Atlas Energy Corp. C$0.03, price C$0.11, upside -67.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · CA

AE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Atlas Energy Corp.

ATLE · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued (−68%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +42.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$7.65 C$0.0250 Fair Value C$0.0340 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0250 – C$7.65 · fair‑value band C$0.0255 – C$0.0425 · the C$0.1050 price screens above the C$0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Atlas Energy Corp. operates as an international upstream royalty and streaming company. It focuses on the identification, acquisition, and management of upstream oil and gas royalty and streaming transactions. The company was formerly known as Willow Biosciences Inc. and changed its name to Atlas Energy Corp. in June 2025. Atlas Energy Corp.

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Atlas Energy Corp. operates as an international upstream royalty and streaming company. It focuses on the identification, acquisition, and management of upstream oil and gas royalty and streaming transactions. The company was formerly known as Willow Biosciences Inc. and changed its name to Atlas Energy Corp. in June 2025. Atlas Energy Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) currently trades at C$0.1050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 208.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0255 (bear) to C$0.0425 (bull), the price of C$0.1050 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Atlas Energy Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$133K in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$1.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$66.1M (≈ $46.7M) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 14.9 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0100 · Return on equity −13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −93.4% · Revenue (TTM) C$4.7M · Free cash flow −C$3.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −68%, ATLE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0255 Fair Value C$0.0340 Bull C$0.0425
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0200 C$0.0300 C$0.0400 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 16
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ATLE screens 209% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 85 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.02× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $47.35 $36.91 −22%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $71.11 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $37.57 $24.61 −34%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.37 $28.24 −10%
TC Energy Corporation TRP $59.78 $24.51 −59%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $20.49 $19.43 −5%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $58.81 $70.84 +20%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $90.54 $80.35 −11%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $282.15 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $273.61 $349.73 +28%

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Atlas Energy Corp. · Fair Value
C$0.0340 −209%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlas Energy Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATLE

Frequently asked questions

Is Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0340 versus a price of C$0.1050, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATLE?
Our model-based fair value for Atlas Energy Corp. is C$0.0340 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1050.
What is the quality score of ATLE?
Atlas Energy Corp. has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0340 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0255, optimistic scenario C$0.0425. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlas Energy Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0340, about −68% upside versus a price of C$0.1050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0255, optimistic scenario C$0.0425. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Atlas Energy Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$4.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlas Energy Corp. it is C$0.0340 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$0.1050. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atlas Energy Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ATLE trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1050, fair value C$0.0340, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATLE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0340). For Atlas Energy Corp. the two are C$0.0710 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlas Energy Corp. worth?
The market values Atlas Energy Corp. at about C$66.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1050; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATLE?
Our models span a range for Atlas Energy Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.0255, base C$0.0340, optimistic C$0.0425 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$0.1050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATLE?
Atlas Energy Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.0340 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 10.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlas Energy Corp. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −13.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATLE from its 52-week high?
Atlas Energy Corp. trades at C$0.1050, about 50% below its 52-week high of C$0.2100 and 5% above the low of C$0.1000 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlas Energy Corp.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Kinder Morgan, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlas Energy Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$0.1050, calculated fair value C$0.0340 (−68%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATLE calculated?
We run Atlas Energy Corp. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Atlas Energy Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$0.1050. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0340, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlas Energy Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0425). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Atlas Energy Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The market capitalisation of Atlas Energy Corp. is C$66.1M (≈ $46.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlas Energy Corp. is 14.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Earnings per share at Atlas Energy Corp. are C$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlas Energy Corp. is −13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlas Energy Corp. is −93.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) generate?
The free cash flow of Atlas Energy Corp. is −C$3.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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