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Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Atlas Energy Corp. stock C$0.04, price C$0.09, that is 57.4% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy CA

AE Atlas Energy Corp. logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Atlas Energy Corp.

ATLE · V
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 57% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 53/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +42.8 %/yr in CAD)
Fair value C$0.0383 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$6.40 C$0.0250 Fair Value C$0.0383 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0250 – C$6.40 · fair‑value band C$0.0306 – C$0.0460 · the C$0.0900 price screens above the C$0.0383 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Atlas Energy Corp. operates as an international upstream royalty and streaming company. It focuses on the identification, acquisition, and management of upstream oil and gas royalty and streaming transactions.

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The company was formerly known as Willow Biosciences Inc. and changed its name to Atlas Energy Corp. in June 2025. Atlas Energy Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) currently trades at C$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0383, 57% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0306 (bear) to C$0.0460 (bull), the price of C$0.0900 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Atlas Energy Corp. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$133K in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$1.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$56.6M (≈ $40.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 12.2 · Return on equity −13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −93.4% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) C$4.7M · Free cash flow −C$3.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −57%, ATLE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0306 Fair Value C$0.0383 Bull C$0.0460
Price C$0.0900 · Downside -57.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0300 C$0.0400 C$0.0500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0300 C$0.0400 C$0.0500 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 16
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 8
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ATLE screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −57.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.08× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 12.15× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $55.91 $70.89 +27% vs ATLE
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $277.95 $341.70 +23% vs ATLE
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $29.96 $28.04 −6% vs ATLE
Energy Transfer LP, ET $18.92 $15.12 −20% vs ATLE
ONEOK, Inc OKE $85.19 $59.87 −30% vs ATLE
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $37.03 $24.66 −33% vs ATLE
Enbridge Inc ENB $46.89 $25.62 −45% vs ATLE
TC Energy Corporation TRP $61.92 $17.35 −72% vs ATLE
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $264.59 $64.88 −75% vs ATLE
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $64.08 $11.72 −82% vs ATLE

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Atlas Energy Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlas Energy Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATLE

Frequently asked questions

Is Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0383 versus a price of C$0.0900, about 57% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATLE?
Our model-based fair value for Atlas Energy Corp. is C$0.0383 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.0900.
What is the quality score of ATLE?
Atlas Energy Corp. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0383 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0306, optimistic scenario C$0.0460. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlas Energy Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0383, about 57% lower versus a price of C$0.0900 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0306, optimistic scenario C$0.0460. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Atlas Energy Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$4.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlas Energy Corp. it is C$0.0383 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of C$0.0900. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Atlas Energy Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, ATLE trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.0900, fair value C$0.0383, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATLE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0383). For Atlas Energy Corp. the two are C$0.0517 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlas Energy Corp. worth?
The market values Atlas Energy Corp. at about C$56.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0900; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0383 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATLE?
Our models span a range for Atlas Energy Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.0306, base C$0.0383, optimistic C$0.0460 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price C$0.0900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlas Energy Corp. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −13.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATLE from its 52-week high?
Atlas Energy Corp. trades at C$0.0900, about 57% below its 52-week high of C$0.2100 and 6% above the low of C$0.0850 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0383 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlas Energy Corp.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., Kinder Morgan, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlas Energy Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price C$0.0900, calculated fair value C$0.0383 (−57%), Quality Score 53/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATLE calculated?
We run Atlas Energy Corp. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.0383 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Atlas Energy Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$0.0900. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0383, about 57% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlas Energy Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0460). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Atlas Energy Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The market capitalisation of Atlas Energy Corp. is C$56.6M (≈ $40.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlas Energy Corp. is 12.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlas Energy Corp. is −13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlas Energy Corp. is −93.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Atlas Energy Corp. (ATLE) generate?
The free cash flow of Atlas Energy Corp. is −C$3.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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