Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Atlas Copco AB is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.67 – $22.08 · fair‑value band $5.28 – $14.16 · the $20.14 price screens above the $8.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania.
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Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. The company offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth and scroll compressors, rotary screw compressors, oil-free blowers, oil-free centrifugal compressors, gas and process compressors, air and gas treatment equipment, expanders and pumps, and medical air solutions. It also provides oil-sealed rotary vane, dry, and liquid ring vacuum pumps; turbomolecular and cryogenic pumps; abatement and integrated systems; industrial assembly tools and solutions; self-pierce riveting solutions; adhesive dispensing and flow drill fastening equipment; material removal tools, and drills and other pneumatic products; machine vision solutions; construction and demolition tools; mobile compressors, generators, and energy storage systems; and industrial flow, portable power, portable flow, and portable air products, as well as specialty rental services. The company serves the semiconductor and flat panel, industrial manufacturing, civil engineering, demolition, exploration drilling, automotive, off-highway vehicle producers, electronics, aerospace, energy, food, pharmaceutical, textile, and other industries. Atlas Copco AB (publ) was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) currently trades at $20.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.36, implying the stock looks roughly 140.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $76.49 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the $20.14 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $15.11, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $5.28 (bear) to $14.16 (bull), the price of $20.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Atlas Copco AB reported revenue of 168B SEK in FY2025 versus 111B SEK in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was 26.4B SEK in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $98.1B · P/E ratio 35.3 · P/S ratio 5.54 · EPS (TTM) $0.5700 · Dividend yield 14.8% · Net margin 15.7% · Return on equity 22.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −58%, ATLPF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.28Fair Value $8.36Bull $14.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4092 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+24.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)14.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 21%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−20.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (51 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 835 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−59% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)14.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)35.3× · Pricier than median
P/FCF3.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG2.80× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)90· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlas Copco AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATLPF
Frequently asked questions
Is Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.36 versus a price of $20.14, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATLPF?
Our model-based fair value for Atlas Copco AB is $8.36 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.14.
What is the quality score of ATLPF?
Atlas Copco AB has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.36 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.28, optimistic scenario $14.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlas Copco AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.36, about −58% upside versus a price of $20.14 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.28, optimistic scenario $14.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Atlas Copco AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $172B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Atlas Copco AB pay a dividend?
Atlas Copco AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 14.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Atlas Copco AB would have to grow free cash flow by -20.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.0 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATLPF use?
Our models discount Atlas Copco AB at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.07, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Atlas Copco AB that is -20.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Atlas Copco AB grew +11.0 % a year. The price currently implies -20.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Atlas Copco AB (-20.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.75 %: that much free cash flow Atlas Copco AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlas Copco AB it is $8.36 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $20.14. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atlas Copco AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, ATLPF trades above its calculated fair value: price $20.14, fair value $8.36, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATLPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.36). For Atlas Copco AB the two are $11.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlas Copco AB worth?
The market values Atlas Copco AB at about $98.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $20.14; our models calculate a fair value of $8.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATLPF?
Our models span a range for Atlas Copco AB: cautious scenario $5.28, base $8.36, optimistic $14.16 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $20.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATLPF?
Atlas Copco AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.3 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.36 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.8.
What is the PEG ratio of ATLPF?
The PEG ratio of Atlas Copco AB is 2.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlas Copco AB (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 22.4%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATLPF from its 52-week high?
Atlas Copco AB trades at $20.14, about 7% below its 52-week high of $21.65 and 43% above the low of $14.08 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlas Copco AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlas Copco AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $20.14, calculated fair value $8.36 (−58%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATLPF calculated?
We run Atlas Copco AB through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Atlas Copco AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $20.14. Our model-based fair value is $8.36, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlas Copco AB right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($5.28 to $14.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) come from?
Earnings per share at Atlas Copco AB grew +9.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.3 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Atlas Copco AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The market capitalisation of Atlas Copco AB is $98.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlas Copco AB is 5.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Earnings per share at Atlas Copco AB are $0.5700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The dividend yield of Atlas Copco AB is 14.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The net margin of Atlas Copco AB is 15.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlas Copco AB is 22.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlas Copco AB is 18.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Revenue at Atlas Copco AB is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF)?
Earnings per share at Atlas Copco AB are growing −5.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) carry?
The net debt of Atlas Copco AB is $19.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 18, 2026