Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $98.1B
Atlas Copco AB
ATLPF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $12.36 to $8.57 (−30.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.44 to $13.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.67 – $21.65 · fair‑value band $5.44 – $13.87 · the $21.24 price screens above the $8.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Atlas Copco AB (ATLPF) currently trades at $21.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.57, implying the stock looks roughly 59.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Atlas Copco AB generated revenue of $172B at a net margin of 15.7%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.4%. Net debt stands at $19.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.44 (bear case) to $13.87 (bull case); at $21.24, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -60%, ATLPF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.57) versus Asset-Based ($1.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania.
Full company description
Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. The company offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth and scroll compressors, rotary screw compressors, oil-free blowers, oil-free centrifugal compressors, gas and process compressors, air and gas treatment equipment, expanders and pumps, and medical air solutions. It also provides oil-sealed rotary vane, dry, and liquid ring vacuum pumps; turbomolecular and cryogenic pumps; abatement and integrated systems; industrial assembly tools and solutions; self-pierce riveting solutions; adhesive dispensing and flow drill fastening equipment; material removal tools, and drills and other pneumatic products; machine vision solutions; construction and demolition tools; mobile compressors, generators, and energy storage systems; and industrial flow, portable power, portable flow, and portable air products, as well as specialty rental services. The company serves the semiconductor and flat panel, industrial manufacturing, civil engineering, demolition, exploration drilling, automotive, off-highway vehicle producers, electronics, aerospace, energy, food, pharmaceutical, textile, and other industries. Atlas Copco AB (publ) was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Atlas Copco AB reported revenue of $168B in FY2025 versus $111B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was $26.4B in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.
ATLPF screens 60% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Atlas Copco AB (ATLCY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Order Intake and Strategic ...
- Atlas Copco (ATLKY) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
- High Arctic Overseas Announces engagement as Authorised Distributor for Atlas Copco Power Technique products in Papua New Guinea
- Atlas Copco SDC Deal Reshapes Industrial Portfolio And Valuation Debate
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 879 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
| Shenzhen Han's CNC Technology Co 301200 | ¥303.01 | ¥37.62 | -88% |
| Alfa Laval AB ALFA | kr 564.60 | kr 372.32 | -34% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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