ATP 30 Public Company (ATP30) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TH · Market cap 559M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −2.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 83% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.09 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.7506 THB – 2.13 THB · fair‑value band 1.09 THB – 1.87 THB · the 0.8000 THB price screens below the 1.46 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
ATP 30 Public Company (ATP30) currently trades at 0.8000 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.46 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 82.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ATP 30 Public Company generated revenue of 798M THB at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at 680M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.09 THB (bear case) to 1.87 THB (bull case); at 0.8000 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 83%, ATP30 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.81 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.3800 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ATP 30 Public Company Limited engages in the provision of transport services in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Transport Services, Management Services, Vehicle Rental, and Maintenance Services segments. The company offers electric vehicle fleet and shuttle public transport management services.
Full company description
ATP 30 Public Company Limited engages in the provision of transport services in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Transport Services, Management Services, Vehicle Rental, and Maintenance Services segments. The company offers electric vehicle fleet and shuttle public transport management services. It operates a fleet of 277 buses, 51 minibuses, 20 electric vehicles, 388 vans, and 2 pickup trucks. The company was formerly known as Amata Transport 30 Limited Company and changed its name to ATP 30 Public Company Limited in 2012. ATP 30 Public Company Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Chonburi, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ATP 30 Public Company reported revenue of 804M THB in FY2025 versus 494M THB in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was 58.5M THB in FY2025, compounding +15.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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