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AtkinsRéalis Group (ATRL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CA · Market cap C$14.3B

AG AtkinsRéalis Group ATRL · TO
PriceC$90.80
Fair ValueC$134.83
Upside+48.5%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range C$101.12 – C$168.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 48% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$101.12). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$105.91 C$21.65 Fair Value C$134.83 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$21.65 – C$105.91 · fair‑value band C$101.12 – C$168.53 · the C$90.80 price screens below the C$134.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

AtkinsRéalis Group (ATRL) currently trades at C$90.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$134.83, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AtkinsRéalis Group generated revenue of C$11.5B at a net margin of 23.2%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 57.0%. Net debt stands at C$558M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$101.12 (bear case) to C$168.53 (bull case); at C$90.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 48%, ATRL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$24.53 C$34.39 C$48.54 80
Residual Income C$132.73 C$210.07 C$3,336 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$34.41 C$55.20 C$78.99 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$24.19 C$35.34 C$52.40 38
Owner Earnings C$195.52 C$302.64 C$466.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$34.41 C$55.51 C$82.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$44.24 C$73.93 C$108.85 41
5Y P/E Exit C$151.99 C$275.76 C$407.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$29.38 C$47.79 C$73.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$36.79 C$60.59 C$92.96 37
10Y P/E Exit C$105.52 C$200.83 C$320.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$109.93 C$344.27 C$458.15 54
Lynch FV C$75.14 C$107.34 C$139.54 50
PEG = 1.0 C$75.14 C$107.34 C$139.54 46
EPV C$23.80 C$27.05 C$29.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$242.49 C$323.32 C$404.15 63
P/S Multiple C$126.40 C$168.53 C$210.67 58
P/B Multiple C$76.07 C$101.43 C$126.78 55
EV/EBIT C$59.62 C$78.07 C$96.52 53
EV/EBITDA C$61.18 C$80.15 C$99.12 54
EV/Revenue C$41.58 C$57.57 C$73.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$16.90 C$22.65 C$33.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$24.53 C$34.39 C$48.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$34.41 C$55.20 C$78.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$132.73 C$210.07 C$3,336 76
ROIC Compounder C$23.80 C$27.05 C$29.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$202.01 C$288.58 C$375.16 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$288.58) versus Asset-Based (C$22.65). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$11.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net margin 23.2%
Return on equity 57.0%
Free cash flow C$285M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.1
More key figures
Operating margin 5.9%
EPS (TTM) C$15.58
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +43.6%
Net debt C$558M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in the United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital.

Full company description

AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in the United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital. The company provides consultancy, strategy, advisory, engineering, design, project and program management and project delivery services for building and places, defence, industrial, power and renewables, and transportation and water markets; and operations, maintenance, and asset management solutions for various assets. It also offers services for clients across the nuclear life cycle from consultancy, engineering, procurement and construction management, field, technology, decommissioning, and waste management services, as well as spare parts; and new-build and full refurbishment services for reactors. In addition, the company is involved in installation of alternative current power substations, including expansions and electrification, notably through repetitive engineering, procurement and construction offerings for utilities, renewables and conventional generation, transportation, and data centers markets; and provision of lump-sum turnkey (LSTK) construction contracts for the mass transit projects. Further, it engages in developing projects, arranging financing, investing in equity, undertaking complex financial modeling, and managing its infrastructure investments, such as bridges and highways, mass transit systems, power facilities, energy infrastructure, water treatment plants, and social infrastructure. Additionally, it offers staff augmentation services. The company was formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and changed its name to AtkinsRéalis in September 2023. AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AtkinsRéalis Group reported revenue of C$11.0B in FY2025 versus C$7.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.6B in FY2025, compounding +40.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$11.0B
Latest YoY
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+7.5%
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 C$7.3B
FY22 C$7.5B
FY23 C$8.5B
FY24 C$9.6B
FY25 C$11.0B
Net income +40.9%/yr
FY21 C$667M
FY22 C$9.8M
FY23 C$287M
FY24 C$284M
FY25 C$2.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AtkinsRéalis Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATRL

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 831 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 36.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.69× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 98 · sector 17
FUTURE 89 · sector 17
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 33

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹102.36 ₹48.22 -53%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AtkinsRéalis Group (ATRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$134.83 versus a price of C$90.80, about +48% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATRL?
Our model-based fair value for AtkinsRéalis Group is C$134.83 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$90.80.
What is the quality score of ATRL?
AtkinsRéalis Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AtkinsRéalis Group (ATRL)?
AtkinsRéalis Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$11.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATRL?
The net profit margin of AtkinsRéalis Group is about 23.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AtkinsRéalis Group pay a dividend?
AtkinsRéalis Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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