AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what AutoStore Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range kr 4.65 – kr 45.20 · fair‑value band kr 2.32 – kr 7.91 · the kr 15.50 price screens above the kr 4.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.
AutoStore Holdings Ltd. provides robotic and software technology in Norway, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally.
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AutoStore Holdings Ltd. provides robotic and software technology in Norway, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers robots, including R5, R5+, R5 Pro, and R5+ Pro under the Red Line names; AutoStore Bin Liftk Grid-to-Grid configuration; AutoStore Grid; AutoStore Multi-Temperature Solution, a storage solution for frozen and chilled environments; Grid Bracer; and bin products. It also provides VersaAI, a lights-out robotic workstation; CarouselAI, an automated robotic picking workstation solution; VersaPort, a workstation solution; ConveyorPort, a workstation to access bins in the AutoStore grid; CarouselPort which maintains workstation productivity and coordination between robot and man; SwingPort, a work space outside of the storage area; RelayPort workstation; PickUpPort which provides in-store pickup options; FusionPort workstation; and FusionPort Staging. In addition, the company offers CubeControl, a software that executes and coordinates AutoStore daily operations; Router, a traffic optimization software within CubeControl; AutoStore Intelligence; CubeAnalytics; CubeVerse; AutoCase; FlexBins; and Qubit Fulfillment Platform. Further, it provides installation, maintenance, and training of personnel services. It serves grocery, retail, third party logistics, industrials, and healthcare industries. The company was formerly known as AutoStore NewCo Ltd. and changed its name to AutoStore Holdings Ltd. in October 2021. AutoStore Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Nedre Vats, Norway.
Stock analysis
AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) currently trades at kr 15.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.98, implying the stock looks roughly 211.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 0.6100 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 15.50 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 0.5100, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 2.32 (bear) to kr 7.91 (bull), the price of kr 15.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
AutoStore Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $539M in FY2025 versus $326M in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was $81.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 52.1B NOK (≈ $5.6B) · P/E ratio 41.9 · P/S ratio 6.36 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.3700 · Net margin 15.2% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin 32.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic.
The share trades near its 52-week high and 211% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −68%, AUTO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.2375 per share) are deliberately not added.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
AutoStore Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $539M in FY2025 versus $326M in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was $81.8M in FY2025.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
539M NOK
Latest YoY
−10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−5.8%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.9% (2020) → 26.0% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop238% (2019) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in NOK
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Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 21
PAST33· sector 28
HEALTH93· sector 96
DIVIDEND0· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 4.98 versus a price of kr 15.50, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AUTO?
Our model-based fair value for AutoStore Holdings Ltd is kr 4.98 (as of Sep 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 15.50.
What is the quality score of AUTO?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 4.98 (as of Sep 12, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.32, optimistic scenario kr 7.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AutoStore Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 4.98, about −68% upside versus a price of kr 15.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.32, optimistic scenario kr 7.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 618M NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AUTO?
The net profit margin of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is about 20.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AutoStore Holdings Ltd it is kr 4.98 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026), against a price of kr 15.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AutoStore Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 12, 2026, AUTO trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 15.50, fair value kr 4.98, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUTO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 15.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 4.98). For AutoStore Holdings Ltd the two are kr 10.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AutoStore Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values AutoStore Holdings Ltd at about 52.1B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 12, 2026). Per share that is kr 15.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 4.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUTO?
Our models span a range for AutoStore Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario kr 2.32, base kr 4.98, optimistic kr 7.91 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026, price kr 15.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUTO?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.9 (as of Sep 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 4.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 6.6, EV/EBITDA 20.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Balance-sheet figures for AutoStore Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 12, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUTO from its 52-week high?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd trades at kr 15.50, about 12% below its 52-week high of kr 13.90 and 211% above the low of kr 4.99 (as of Sep 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 4.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AutoStore Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AutoStore Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 12, 2026: price kr 15.50, calculated fair value kr 4.98 (−68%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUTO calculated?
We run AutoStore Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 4.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 31.6 % above its aggregate fair value. AutoStore Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
What should I pay attention to with AutoStore Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 7.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (kr 2.32 to kr 7.91). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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