AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of AutoStore Holdings Ltd NOK 5.26, price NOK 15.92, upside -67.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range kr 4.65 – kr 45.20 · fair‑value band kr 2.56 – kr 7.46 · the kr 15.92 price screens above the kr 5.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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AutoStore Holdings Ltd. provides robotic and software technology in Norway, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally.
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AutoStore Holdings Ltd. provides robotic and software technology in Norway, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers robots, including R5, R5+, R5 Pro, and R5+ Pro under the Red Line names; AutoStore Bin Liftk Grid-to-Grid configuration; AutoStore Grid; AutoStore Multi-Temperature Solution, a storage solution for frozen and chilled environments; Grid Bracer; and bin products. It also provides VersaAI, a lights-out robotic workstation; CarouselAI, an automated robotic picking workstation solution; VersaPort, a workstation solution; ConveyorPort, a workstation to access bins in the AutoStore grid; CarouselPort which maintains workstation productivity and coordination between robot and man; SwingPort, a work space outside of the storage area; RelayPort workstation; PickUpPort which provides in-store pickup options; FusionPort workstation; and FusionPort Staging. In addition, the company offers CubeControl, a software that executes and coordinates AutoStore daily operations; Router, a traffic optimization software within CubeControl; AutoStore Intelligence; CubeAnalytics; CubeVerse; AutoCase; FlexBins; and Qubit Fulfillment Platform. Further, it provides installation, maintenance, and training of personnel services. It serves grocery, retail, third party logistics, industrials, and healthcare industries. The company was formerly known as AutoStore NewCo Ltd. and changed its name to AutoStore Holdings Ltd. in October 2021. AutoStore Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Nedre Vats, Norway.
Stock analysis
AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) currently trades at kr 15.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 5.26, implying the stock looks roughly 202.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 0.6500 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 15.92 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at kr 0.6000, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 2.56 (bear) to kr 7.46 (bull), the price of kr 15.92 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AutoStore Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $539M in FY2025 versus $326M in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was $81.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 53.5B NOK (≈ $5.6B) · P/E ratio 43.0 · P/S ratio 6.53 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.3700 · Net margin 15.2% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin 32.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic.
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −67%, AUTO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 2.56Fair Value kr 5.26Bull kr 7.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.2707 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 26%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +53.1% a year for the price and +8.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (21 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth93% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)43.0× · Pricier than median
P/B3.68× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)9.12× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF146.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA27.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)33· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 5.26 versus a price of kr 15.92, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AUTO?
Our model-based fair value for AutoStore Holdings Ltd is kr 5.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 15.92.
What is the quality score of AUTO?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 5.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.56, optimistic scenario kr 7.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AutoStore Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 5.26, about −67% upside versus a price of kr 15.92 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.56, optimistic scenario kr 7.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $618M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AutoStore Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +56.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AUTO use?
Our models discount AutoStore Holdings Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.96, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AutoStore Holdings Ltd that is +56.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AutoStore Holdings Ltd grew +24.4 % a year. The price currently implies +56.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AutoStore Holdings Ltd (+56.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.68 %: that much free cash flow AutoStore Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AutoStore Holdings Ltd it is kr 5.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 15.92. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AutoStore Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AUTO trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 15.92, fair value kr 5.26, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUTO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 15.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 5.26). For AutoStore Holdings Ltd the two are kr 10.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AutoStore Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values AutoStore Holdings Ltd at about 53.5B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 15.92; our models calculate a fair value of kr 5.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUTO?
Our models span a range for AutoStore Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario kr 2.56, base kr 5.26, optimistic kr 7.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 15.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUTO?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 5.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 9.1, EV/EBITDA 27.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Balance-sheet figures for AutoStore Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUTO from its 52-week high?
AutoStore Holdings Ltd trades at kr 15.92, about 7% below its 52-week high of kr 17.06 and 77% above the low of kr 9.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 5.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AutoStore Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AutoStore Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 15.92, calculated fair value kr 5.26 (−67%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUTO calculated?
We run AutoStore Holdings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 5.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. AutoStore Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 15.92. Our model-based fair value is kr 5.26, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AutoStore Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 7.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (kr 2.56 to kr 7.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of AutoStore Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The market capitalisation of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is 53.5B NOK (≈ $5.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is 6.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Earnings per share at AutoStore Holdings Ltd are kr 0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The net margin of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is 15.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
The operating margin of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is 32.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Revenue at AutoStore Holdings Ltd is growing +93.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO)?
Earnings per share at AutoStore Holdings Ltd are growing +0.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO) carry?
The net debt of AutoStore Holdings Ltd is $121M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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