PT Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 12.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 5,360 IDR to 2,636 IDR (−50.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +15.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (2,076 IDR to 4,678 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 697.92 IDR – 2,790 IDR · fair‑value band 2,076 IDR – 4,678 IDR · the 2,790 IDR price screens above the 2,636 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) currently trades at 2,790 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,636 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 5.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Astra Otoparts Tbk generated revenue of 20.3T IDR at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.9T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,076 IDR (bear case) to 4,678 IDR (bull case); at 2,790 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -6%, AUTO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (7,318 IDR) versus Asset-Based (2,181 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures, sells, distributes, and exports spare parts for two-wheelers and four-wheelers in Indonesia, the Rest of Asia, the Middle East, the United States, Europe, and Africa. It operates through the Trading and Automotive Component Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures, sells, distributes, and exports spare parts for two-wheelers and four-wheelers in Indonesia, the Rest of Asia, the Middle East, the United States, Europe, and Africa. It operates through the Trading and Automotive Component Manufacturing segments. The company offers automotive spare parts, chains, and filters; rubber and metal components; jacks and tools; plastic components; automotive batteries; automotive pistons; wheel rims and frame chassis for vehicles; sales services; and vehicles transmission components, as well as cutting steel and heat treatment services, as well as manufactures, sells, and trades in automotive parts; and manufactures and sells electrical appliances. It distributes its products through dealers, sales offices, and retailers. The company was formerly known as PT Astra Dian Lestari and changed its name to PT Astra Otoparts Tbk in November 1997. PT Astra Otoparts Tbk was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra Otoparts Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk reported revenue of 19.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 15.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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