Avex Inc (AVEXF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $318M

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $7.09 – $8.01 · fair‑value band $2.12 – $3.53 · the $7.49 price screens above the $2.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Avex Inc (AVEXF) currently trades at $7.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.82, implying the stock looks roughly 62.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Avex Inc generated revenue of $147B at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at $5.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.12 (bear case) to $3.53 (bull case); at $7.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -62%, AVEXF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($4.99) versus Earnings-Based ($1.23). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Avex Inc., an entertainment company, engages in the music, artist management, animation, visual content, and other businesses in Japan. It operates through music, anime & visual content, and overseas segments. The company plans, produces, and sells musical content; publishes and distributes music; and plans, produces, and manages concerts and events.

Full company description

Avex Inc., an entertainment company, engages in the music, artist management, animation, visual content, and other businesses in Japan. It operates through music, anime & visual content, and overseas segments. The company plans, produces, and sells musical content; publishes and distributes music; and plans, produces, and manages concerts and events. It also manages artists, talents, and creators; operates and manages fan clubs; and sells tickets. In addition, the company is involved in planning, developing, and managing of e-commerce sites; planning, producing, sale, and distribution of digital content; planning and production of game software; supply of animation titles to video distribution services and film distribution activities, as well as plans, produces, and distributes entertainment content. The company was formerly known as Avex Group Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Avex Inc. in November 2017. Avex Inc. was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avex Inc reported revenue of $132B in FY2025 versus $81.5B in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding −45.4%/yr from FY2021.

AVEXF screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.