Avex Inc. (AVEXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Avex Inc. stock $9.00, price $8.00, upside +12.5%, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range $7.09 – $8.01 · fair‑value band $6.18 – $11.46 · the $8.00 price screens below the $9.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Avex Inc., an entertainment company, engages in the music, artist management, animation, visual content, and other businesses in Japan. It operates through music, anime & visual content, and overseas segments.
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The company plans, produces, and sells musical content; publishes and distributes music; and plans, produces, and manages concerts and events. It also manages artists, talents, and creators; operates and manages fan clubs; and sells tickets.
In addition, the company is involved in planning, developing, and managing of e-commerce sites; planning, producing, sale, and distribution of digital content; planning and production of game software; supply of animation titles to video distribution services and film distribution activities, as well as plans, produces, and distributes entertainment content.
The company was formerly known as Avex Group Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Avex Inc. in November 2017. Avex Inc. was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Avex Inc. (AVEXF) currently trades at $8.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.00, implying the stock looks roughly 11% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.52 per share, and 10 of the 17 models we run sit above the $8.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.33, and 7 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.18 (bear) to $11.46 (bull), the price of $8.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Avex Inc. reported revenue of ¥147B in FY2026 versus ¥98.4B in FY2022, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.6B in FY2026, compounding +40.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $340M Small · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $0.4900 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 13%, AVEXF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$6.18Fair Value $9.00Bull$11.46
Price $8.00 · Upside +12.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1079 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 3%
2026 sits 211% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 251 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+12.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.9% · Above median
Return on assets3.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)3.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.9% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avex Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVEXF
Frequently asked questions
Is Avex Inc. (AVEXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.00 versus a price of $8.00, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVEXF?
Our model-based fair value for Avex Inc. is $9.00 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.00.
What is the quality score of AVEXF?
Avex Inc. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.00 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.18, optimistic scenario $11.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avex Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.00, about +13% upside versus a price of $8.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.18, optimistic scenario $11.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Avex Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥149B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Avex Inc. pay a dividend?
Avex Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.94% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Avex Inc. (AVEXF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Avex Inc. pays a dividend of $0.315 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.9%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. The payout ratio is 60.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avex Inc. it is $9.00 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $8.00. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Avex Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, AVEXF trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.00, fair value $9.00, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVEXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.00). For Avex Inc. the two are $1.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avex Inc. worth?
The market values Avex Inc. at about $340M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $8.00; our models calculate a fair value of $9.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVEXF?
Our models span a range for Avex Inc.: cautious scenario $6.18, base $9.00, optimistic $11.46 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $8.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AVEXF?
Avex Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.3 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 3.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avex Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 6.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVEXF from its 52-week high?
Avex Inc. trades at $8.00, at its 52-week high of $8.01 and 13% above the low of $7.09 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avex Inc.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avex Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $8.00, calculated fair value $9.00 (+13%), Quality Score 65/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVEXF calculated?
We run Avex Inc. through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $9.00 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Avex Inc. currently trades 11% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was $8.00. Our model-based fair value is $9.00, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avex Inc. right now?
A fairly wide model range ($6.18 to $11.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Avex Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The market capitalisation of Avex Inc. is $340M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avex Inc. is 0.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Earnings per share at Avex Inc. are $0.4900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The dividend yield of Avex Inc. is 3.9% (payout 64.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The net margin of Avex Inc. is 2.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avex Inc. is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avex Inc. is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
The operating margin of Avex Inc. is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Revenue at Avex Inc. is growing +6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avex Inc. (AVEXF)?
Earnings per share at Avex Inc. are growing −44.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Avex Inc. (AVEXF) generate?
The free cash flow of Avex Inc. is −¥336M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avex Inc. (AVEXF) carry?
The net debt of Avex Inc. is ¥5.7B (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 10, 2026