Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi operates in the real estate investment field in Turkey and Georgia. Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1994 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO) currently trades at 17.13 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.79 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 94.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 15.26 TRY per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the 17.13 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 9.65 TRY, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6.42 TRY (bear) to 13.31 TRY (bull), the price of 17.13 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 77.3M TRY in FY2025 versus 10.1M TRY in FY2021, a compound +66.4%/yr. Reported net income was −31.9M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B TRY (≈ $39.4M) · P/S ratio 6.69 · EPS (TTM) −0.6900 TRY · Net margin −41.3% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin 30.7% · Revenue growth (YoY) +948%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −49%, AVGYO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.42 TRYFair Value 8.79 TRYBull 13.31 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−75.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.6%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
78.5% (2020) → 132.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Specialty · 32 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−32% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth948% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG0.40× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVGYO
Frequently asked questions
Is Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.79 TRY versus a price of 17.13 TRY, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVGYO?
Our model-based fair value for Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 8.79 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.13 TRY.
What is the quality score of AVGYO?
Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.79 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.42 TRY, optimistic scenario 13.31 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.79 TRY, about −49% upside versus a price of 17.13 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.42 TRY, optimistic scenario 13.31 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS would have to grow free cash flow by +23.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +39.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AVGYO use?
Our models discount Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS that is +23.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS grew +39.7 % a year. The price currently implies +23.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (+23.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.18 %: that much free cash flow Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 8.79 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 17.13 TRY. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AVGYO trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.13 TRY, fair value 8.79 TRY, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVGYO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.13 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.79 TRY). For Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 8.34 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 1.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 17.13 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 8.79 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVGYO?
Our models span a range for Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 6.42 TRY, base 8.79 TRY, optimistic 13.31 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 17.13 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AVGYO?
The PEG ratio of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 0.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −3.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVGYO from its 52-week high?
Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 17.13 TRY, about 14% below its 52-week high of 19.89 TRY and 92% above the low of 8.93 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.79 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Equinix, Inc, American Tower Corporation, Digital Realty Trust, Inc, Iron Mountain Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 17.13 TRY, calculated fair value 8.79 TRY (−49%), Quality Score 53/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVGYO calculated?
We run Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.79 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.31 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (6.42 TRY to 13.31 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
The market capitalisation of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.9B TRY (≈ $39.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 6.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
Earnings per share at Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are −0.6900 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
The net margin of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −41.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
The operating margin of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 30.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
Revenue at Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing +948% versus a year earlier (3y avg +54.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO)?
Earnings per share at Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing −27.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (AVGYO) carry?
The net debt of Avrasya Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 6.3M TRY (fiscal year 2018, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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