Avalon Advanced Materials Inc (AVLNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $18.8M

Below-average quality, screening 81% undervalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (15/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range ($8.25 to $16.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0215 – $32.06 · fair‑value band $8.25 – $16.51 · the $6.10 price screens below the $11.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Avalon Advanced Materials Inc (AVLNF) currently trades at $6.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.06, implying the stock looks roughly 81.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $49.9K. It earns a return on equity of -15.9%. Net debt stands at $8.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.25 (bear case) to $16.51 (bull case); at $6.10, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 81%, AVLNF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Avalon Advanced Materials Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of specialty and critical minerals properties in Canada and The United States.

Full company description

Avalon Advanced Materials Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of specialty and critical minerals properties in Canada and The United States. The company primarily explores for aluminum, antimony, bismuth, cesium, chromium, cobalt, copper, fluorspar, gallium, germanium, graphite, helium, iron ore, indium, lithium, magnesium, manganese, molybdenum, nickel, niobium, phosphorus, platinum group metals, potash, scandium, silicon, tantalum, tellurium, tin, titanium, tungsten, uranium, vanadium, zinc, neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, terbium, gadolinium, yttrium, and zirconium, as well as rare earth elements. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Separation Rapids Lithium Project consisting of nineteen mineral claims and one mining lease covering an area of approximately 4,414 hectares located in the Paterson Lake Area, Kenora Mining Division, Ontario. The company was formerly known as Avalon Rare Metals Inc. and changed its name to Avalon Advanced Materials Inc. in February 2016. Avalon Advanced Materials Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avalon Advanced Materials Inc reported revenue of $49.9K in FY2025 versus $11.2K in FY2021, a compound +45.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.2M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 481 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.