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First Real Estate Investment Tr (AW9U) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 487M SGD

FR First Real Estate Investment Tr AW9U · SG
Price0.2250 SGD
Fair Value0.2300 SGD
Upside+2.2%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 28.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
9.57% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range 0.1900 SGD – 0.2900 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.2734 SGD 0.1611 SGD Fair Value 0.2300 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1611 SGD – 0.2734 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1900 SGD – 0.2900 SGD · the 0.2250 SGD price screens below the 0.2300 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

First Real Estate Investment Tr (AW9U) currently trades at 0.2250 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2300 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, First Real Estate Investment Tr generated revenue of 101M SGD at a net margin of 28.8%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 399M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.1900 SGD (bear case) to 0.2900 SGD (bull case); at 0.2250 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 2%, AW9U screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1800 SGD 0.2400 SGD 0.3500 SGD 80
Residual Income 0.1900 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.1800 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1600 SGD 0.2500 SGD 0.3600 SGD 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1700 SGD 0.2400 SGD 0.3600 SGD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1600 SGD 0.2500 SGD 0.3900 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.2800 SGD 0.4600 SGD 0.7000 SGD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.1600 SGD 0.2200 SGD 0.2900 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.2300 SGD 0.3400 SGD 0.4600 SGD 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1700 SGD 0.1900 SGD 0.2100 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1700 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.2500 SGD 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.1700 SGD 0.2300 SGD 0.2900 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.1700 SGD 0.2300 SGD 0.2900 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.5800 SGD 0.7900 SGD 1.01 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 0.4300 SGD 0.6000 SGD 0.7700 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.1700 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.3700 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1300 SGD 0.1800 SGD 0.2600 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1800 SGD 0.2400 SGD 0.3500 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1600 SGD 0.2500 SGD 0.3600 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.1900 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.1800 SGD 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (0.2700 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.1800 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 101M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.3%
Net margin 28.8%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow 60.9M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 22.5
More key figures
Operating margin 79.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD
Dividend yield 9.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -72.4%
Net debt 399M SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Real Estate Investment Trust is a healthcare real estate investment trust focused on investing in income producing real estate properties which are primarily used for healthcare and healthcare related purposes. First REIT is managed by First REIT Management Limited (the Manager), which is headquartered in Singapore.

Full company description

First Real Estate Investment Trust is a healthcare real estate investment trust focused on investing in income producing real estate properties which are primarily used for healthcare and healthcare related purposes. First REIT is managed by First REIT Management Limited (the Manager), which is headquartered in Singapore. The Manager is 40% directly held by OUE Healthcare Limited and 60% directly held by OUE Limited, who together are its Sponsors. As at 31 December 2025, the Trust has a portfolio of 31 properties across Asia, with a total asset value of 1.02 billion dollars. These include 14 properties in Indonesia comprising 11 hospitals, 2 integrated hospitals & malls and an integrated hospital & hotel; 3 nursing homes in Singapore; and 14 nursing homes in Japan. The Trust's healthcare properties in Indonesia are operated by PT Siloam International Hospitals Tbk while healthcare properties in Singapore and Japan are operated by well-established third-party operators. First Real Estate Investment Trust was established on October 19, 2006 and incorporated in 2006 in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Real Estate Investment Tr reported revenue of 101M SGD in FY2025 versus 102M SGD in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 29.0M SGD in FY2025, compounding −17.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
101M SGD
Latest YoY
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 102M SGD
FY22 111M SGD
FY23 109M SGD
FY24 102M SGD
FY25 101M SGD
Net income −17.7%/yr
FY21 63.1M SGD
FY22 33.6M SGD
FY23 63.3M SGD
FY24 36.8M SGD
FY25 29.0M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Real Estate Investment Tr Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AW9U

Peer Group

REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 26 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 80% · Above median
Revenue growth -0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.68× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.79× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 19 · sector 22
HEALTH 83 · sector 73
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Welltower Inc WELL $230.27 $41.85 -82%
Ventas, Inc VTR $89.01 $17.91 -80%
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI $45.87 $33.54 -27%
Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC $20.66 $6.95 -66%
American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR $52.59 $10.94 -79%
CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE $39.16 $22.79 -42%
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR $19.21 $20.60 +7%
Aedifica NV AED €68.10 €34.97 -49%
Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN C$21.17 C$3.49 -84%
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA $20.19 $10.49 -48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Real Estate Investment Tr (AW9U) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2300 SGD versus a price of 0.2250 SGD, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AW9U?
Our model-based fair value for First Real Estate Investment Tr is 0.2300 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.2250 SGD.
What is the quality score of AW9U?
First Real Estate Investment Tr has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Real Estate Investment Tr (AW9U)?
First Real Estate Investment Tr reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 101M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AW9U?
The net profit margin of First Real Estate Investment Tr is about 28.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does First Real Estate Investment Tr pay a dividend?
First Real Estate Investment Tr currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.57% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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