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Awalé Resources Limited (AWLRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $60.2M

AR Awalé Resources Limited logo Awalé Resources Limited AWLRF · US
Price$0.6486
Fair Value$0.0680
Upside-89.5%
Quality28/100
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Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0425 – $0.0850 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +26.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0850). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.0425 to $0.0850) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$0.8340 $0.3735 Fair Value $0.0680 Aug 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range $0.3735 – $0.8340 · fair‑value band $0.0425 – $0.0850 · the $0.6486 price screens above the $0.0680 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Awalé Resources Limited (AWLRF) currently trades at $0.6486, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0680, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $5.2K. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0425 (bear case) to $0.0850 (bull case); at $0.6486, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -90%, AWLRF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1600 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.2K
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.9%
Return on equity -14.3%
Free cash flow −$1.9M FY2025
Operating margin -1,006%
EPS (TTM) $-0.0200

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Awalé Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Côte d'Ivoire. It primarily explores for gold, copper, and other precious metals. The company's flagship project is the Odienné Project which covers approximately 2,346 square kilometers located in Denguèlé Region of Côte d'Ivoire.

Full company description

Awalé Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Côte d'Ivoire. It primarily explores for gold, copper, and other precious metals. The company's flagship project is the Odienné Project which covers approximately 2,346 square kilometers located in Denguèlé Region of Côte d'Ivoire. The company was formerly known as Spada Gold Ltd. and changed its name to Awalé Resources Limited in December 2017. Awalé Resources Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Awalé Resources Limited reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$2.0M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$1.7M
FY22 −$8.5M
FY23 −$1.0M
FY24 −$2.8M
FY25 −$2.0M

AWLRF screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Awalé Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AWLRF

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.38× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Awalé Resources Limited (AWLRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0680 versus a price of $0.6486, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AWLRF?
Our model-based fair value for Awalé Resources Limited is $0.0680 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.6486.
What is the quality score of AWLRF?
Awalé Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Awalé Resources Limited (AWLRF)?
Awalé Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.2K (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AWLRF?
The net profit margin of Awalé Resources Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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