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Axtec Limited (AXI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AU · Market cap A$7.1M

AL Axtec Limited AXI · AU
PriceA$0.0100
Fair ValueA$0.0139
Upside+39.0%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0126 – A$0.0152 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −23.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0126). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0950 A$0.0100 Fair Value A$0.0139 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.0950 · fair‑value band A$0.0126 – A$0.0152 · the A$0.0100 price screens below the A$0.0139 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Axtec Limited (AXI) currently trades at A$0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0139, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$31.0K. Revenue declined 89.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -39.8%. Net debt stands at A$2.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0126 (bear case) to A$0.0152 (bull case); at A$0.0100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 39%, AXI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 61
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0100) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$31.0K
Revenue growth (YoY) -89.3%
Return on equity -39.8%
Free cash flow −A$1.4M FY2025
Operating margin -592%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net debt A$2.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Axtec Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in property investment and development activities in Australia. It is also involved in the property technology related activities and payment solutions. The company was formerly known as Axiom Properties Limited and change its name to Axtec Limited in November 2025.

Full company description

Axtec Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in property investment and development activities in Australia. It is also involved in the property technology related activities and payment solutions. The company was formerly known as Axiom Properties Limited and change its name to Axtec Limited in November 2025. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Axtec Limited reported revenue of A$3.3M in FY2025 versus A$59.5M in FY2021, a compound −51.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$3.3M
Latest YoY
+107.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−63.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue −51.6%/yr
FY21 A$59.5M
FY22 A$65.5M
FY23 A$2.0M
FY24 A$1.6M
FY25 A$3.3M
Net income
FY21 A$12.2M
FY22 A$5.5M
FY23 −A$3.4M
FY24 −A$5.0M
FY25 −A$2.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Axtec Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AXI

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +0% · Top 25%
Return on assets -18% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -89% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.03× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Axtec Limited (AXI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0139 versus a price of A$0.0100, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AXI?
Our model-based fair value for Axtec Limited is A$0.0139 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0100.
What is the quality score of AXI?
Axtec Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Axtec Limited (AXI)?
Axtec Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$31.0K (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AXI?
The net profit margin of Axtec Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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