Ayala Land, Inc (AYAAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ayala Land, Inc $0.58, price $0.25, upside +132.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Ayala Land, Inc
AYAAF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2300 – $0.9155 · fair‑value band $0.3100 – $0.9300 · the $0.2500 price screens below the $0.5800 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Ayala Land, Inc. operates as a property developer in the Philippines. The company operates through Property Developments, International, Shopping Centers, Offices, Industrial Real Estate, Hotels and Resorts, Construction, and Property Management and Other segments.
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Ayala Land, Inc. operates as a property developer in the Philippines. The company operates through Property Developments, International, Shopping Centers, Offices, Industrial Real Estate, Hotels and Resorts, Construction, and Property Management and Other segments. It sells high-end and upper middle-income residential lots and units, affordable housing units and lots, and economic housing and leisure community developments; leases residential developments under joint venture; acquires, develops, and sells large-scale, mixed-use, and master-planned communities; and sells override units. The company also develops and sells residential lots and units. In addition, it develops shopping centers; leases retail space and land to third parties; operates movie theaters, food courts, entertainment facilities, gas stations, and car parking in shopping centers; manages and operates malls; develops, leases, and sells office buildings; sells industrial lots; and leases factory building. Further, the company engages in the development and management of hotels and resorts/serviced apartments; leasing of land to hotel tenants; and land development and construction, and facilities management activities to Group and third-party projects. Ayala Land, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines. Ayala Land, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Ayala Corporation.
Stock analysis
Ayala Land, Inc (AYAAF) currently trades at $0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5800, implying the stock looks roughly 56.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.7800 per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the $0.2500 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1400, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3100 (bear) to $0.9300 (bull), the price of $0.2500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ayala Land, Inc reported revenue of 175B PHP in FY2025 versus 103B PHP in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was 39.0B PHP in FY2025, compounding +33.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.7B · P/E ratio 6.3 · P/S ratio 1.39 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 22.3% · Return on equity 11.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 132%, AYAAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 16 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Ayala Land Inc (AYAAF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Headwinds with Strategic ...
- Ayala Land Inc (AYAAF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ...
- Ayala Land reports FY results
- Ayala Land reports 9M results
Compare Ayala Land, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 | HK$107.10 | HK$155.14 | +45% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$28.64 | HK$71.60 | +150% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$45.90 | HK$71.49 | +56% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.57 | $1.52 | −82% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹658.40 | ₹167.48 | −75% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$12.42 | HK$22.33 | +80% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$9.94 | HK$7.28 | −27% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,165 | ₹274.14 | −76% |
| Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 | ¥5.77 | ¥5.87 | +2% |
| China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 | ¥7.18 | ¥6.04 | −16% |
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Key figures of Ayala Land, Inc
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