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Ayala Land, Inc (AYAAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $3.6B

AL Ayala Land, Inc logo Ayala Land, Inc AYAAF · US
Price$0.2500
Fair Value$0.6300
Upside+152.0%
Quality44/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $0.2900 – $0.7900 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$0.9155 $0.2300 Fair Value $0.6300 Aug 2015 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.2300 – $0.9155 · fair‑value band $0.2900 – $0.7900 · the $0.2500 price screens below the $0.6300 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Ayala Land, Inc (AYAAF) currently trades at $0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6300, implying the stock looks roughly 152.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ayala Land, Inc generated revenue of $184B at a net margin of 20.4%. Revenue declined 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at $317B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2900 (bear case) to $0.7900 (bull case); at $0.2500, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at 152%, AYAAF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $184B
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.9%
Net margin 20.4%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow $18.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 6.3
More key figures
Operating margin 34.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -20.8%
Net debt $317B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ayala Land, Inc. operates as a property developer in the Philippines. The company operates through Property Developments, International, Shopping Centers, Offices, Industrial Real Estate, Hotels and Resorts, Construction, and Property Management and Other segments. It sells high-end and upper middle-income residential lots and units, affordable housing units and lots, and economic housing and leisure community developments; leases residential developments under joint venture; acquires, develops, and sells large-scale, mixed-use, and master-planned communities; and sells override units. The company also develops and sells residential lots and units. In addition, it develops shopping centers; leases retail space and land to third parties; operates movie theaters, food courts, entertainment facilities, gas stations, and car parking in shopping centers; manages and operates malls; develops, leases, and sells office buildings; sells industrial lots; and leases factory building. Further, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ayala Land, Inc reported revenue of $175B in FY2025 versus $103B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $39.0B in FY2025, compounding +33.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +14.2%/yr
FY21 $103B
FY22 $123B
FY23 $149B
FY24 $177B
FY25 $175B
Net income +33.6%/yr
FY21 $12.2B
FY22 $18.6B
FY23 $24.5B
FY24 $28.2B
FY25 $39.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ayala Land, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AYAAF

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 155,400 VND 148,549 VND -4%
DLF Limited DLF ₹621.35 ₹159.49 -74%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹894.45 ₹721.45 -19%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,592 ₹1,400 -12%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹1,642 ₹788.35 -52%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 2,000 IDR +85%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 565.00 IDR 1,413 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 55.00 IDR 137.50 IDR +150%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 545.00 IDR 1,363 IDR +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ayala Land, Inc (AYAAF) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6300 versus a price of $0.2500, about +152% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AYAAF?
Our model-based fair value for Ayala Land, Inc is $0.6300 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2500.
What is the quality score of AYAAF?
Ayala Land, Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ayala Land, Inc (AYAAF)?
Ayala Land, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $184B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AYAAF?
The net profit margin of Ayala Land, Inc is about 20.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ayala Land, Inc pay a dividend?
Ayala Land, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.