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Ayala Corporation (AYALY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $6.7B

AC Ayala Corporation logo Ayala Corporation AYALY · US
Price$7.73
Fair Value$15.86
Upside+105.2%
Quality38/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $11.89 – $19.82 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $12.68 to $15.86 (+25.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +18.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$15.39 $6.25 Fair Value $15.86 Oct 2020 Jul 2026

12‑month range $6.25 – $15.39 · fair‑value band $11.89 – $19.82 · the $7.73 price screens below the $15.86 fair value. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Ayala Corporation (AYALY) currently trades at $7.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.86, implying the stock looks roughly 105.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ayala Corporation generated revenue of $384B at a net margin of 15.8%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $669B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.89 (bear case) to $19.82 (bull case); at $7.73, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at 105%, AYALY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $384B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin 15.8%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow −$18.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 4.3
More key figures
Operating margin 25.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.52
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.4%
Net debt $669B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ayala Corporation engages in the real estate and hotel businesses in the Philippines, Europe, Asia, and the United States. The company develops, constructs, leases, and sells residential and commercial lots, as well as develops and sells leisure properties; manages land bank; operates hotels, cinema, and theaters; and offers construction and property management services. It also provides saving and time deposits, corporate, consumer, mortgage, leasing, and agri business loans; deposit and cash management, asset management, securities brokerage, foreign exchange and capital markets investment, corporate finance and consulting, investment banking, internet banking, foreign exchange, and safety deposit services; and life, non-life, pre-need, and reinsurance services. In addition, the company offers digital wireless communication, long distance communication, broadband internet, wireline voice and data communication, and local exchange carrier services; and designs, develops, operates, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ayala Corporation reported revenue of 337B PHP in FY2025 versus 232B PHP in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was 61.4B PHP in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 232B PHP
FY22 271B PHP
FY23 342B PHP
FY24 326B PHP
FY25 337B PHP
Net income +12.9%/yr
FY21 37.9B PHP
FY22 45.9B PHP
FY23 38.1B PHP
FY24 42.0B PHP
FY25 61.4B PHP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ayala Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AYALY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ayala Corporation (AYALY) undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.86 versus a price of $7.73, about +105% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AYALY?
Our model-based fair value for Ayala Corporation is $15.86 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.73.
What is the quality score of AYALY?
Ayala Corporation has a Quality Score of 38/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ayala Corporation (AYALY)?
Ayala Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $384B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AYALY?
The net profit margin of Ayala Corporation is about 15.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ayala Corporation pay a dividend?
Ayala Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.