PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk (BACA) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · ID · Market cap 2.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +13.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (102.60 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 99.00 IDR – 835.00 IDR · fair‑value band 61.56 IDR – 102.60 IDR · the 117.00 IDR price screens above the 82.08 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk (BACA) currently trades at 117.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 82.08 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 1.3T IDR at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 19.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.5T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 61.56 IDR (bear case) to 102.60 IDR (bull case); at 117.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -30%, BACA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (229.20 IDR) versus Multiples (82.08 IDR). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk provides various banking products and services in Indonesia. The company offers current accounts, savings accounts, and time deposits in both Rupiah and foreign currencies, as well as placements with Bank Indonesia and other banks, marketable securities, and loans to individuals, corporations, and households.
Full company description
PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk provides various banking products and services in Indonesia. The company offers current accounts, savings accounts, and time deposits in both Rupiah and foreign currencies, as well as placements with Bank Indonesia and other banks, marketable securities, and loans to individuals, corporations, and households. It also offers trade finance, treasury services, and payment system solutions, including electronic banking and ATM network. In addition, the company provides loan restructuring, clearing, foreign currency, export and import, payroll, facility and security agent, pick-up, internet and mobile banking services. The company was formerly known as PT Bank Credit Lyonnais Indonesia and changed its name to PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk in September 2004. PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Capital Global Investama.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 2.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 126B IDR in FY2025, compounding +38.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −11.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BACA screens 30% overvalued. Compare with KB Financial Group →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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