Battalion Oil Corp (BATL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Battalion Oil Corp $1.12, price $1.06, upside +5.9%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.01 – $27.68 · fair‑value band $0.8441 – $1.21 · the $1.06 price screens below the $1.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Battalion Oil Corporation, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, production, exploration, and development of onshore oil and natural gas assets in the United States. The company holds interests in the Delaware Basin located in Pecos, Reeves, Ward, and Winkler counties in Texas.
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Battalion Oil Corporation, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, production, exploration, and development of onshore oil and natural gas assets in the United States. The company holds interests in the Delaware Basin located in Pecos, Reeves, Ward, and Winkler counties in Texas. It also sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily to independent marketers, oil and natural gas companies, and gas pipeline companies. The company was formerly known as Halcón Resources Corporation and changed its name to Battalion Oil Corporation in January 2020. Battalion Oil Corporation was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Battalion Oil Corp (BATL) currently trades at $1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.12, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.55 per share, and 8 of the 8 models we run sit above the $1.06 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.61, and 0 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8441 (bear) to $1.21 (bull), the price of $1.06 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Battalion Oil Corp reported revenue of $165M in FY2025 versus $285M in FY2021, a compound −12.8%/yr. Reported net income was $11.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $27.5M · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) $−5.61 · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity −29.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5% · Operating margin −128% · Revenue (TTM) $158M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 6%, BATL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8441Fair Value $1.12Bull $1.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.10/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−48.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−177% → −4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 293 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Below median
Fair Value upside+5.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−32.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−127.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.94× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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Is Battalion Oil Corp (BATL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.12 versus a price of $1.06, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BATL?
Our model-based fair value for Battalion Oil Corp is $1.12 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.06.
What is the quality score of BATL?
Battalion Oil Corp has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.12 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8441, optimistic scenario $1.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Battalion Oil Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.12, about +6% upside versus a price of $1.06 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.8441, optimistic scenario $1.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Battalion Oil Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $158M (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Battalion Oil Corp it is $1.12 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $1.06. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Battalion Oil Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, BATL trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.06, fair value $1.12, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BATL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.12). For Battalion Oil Corp the two are $0.0620 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Battalion Oil Corp worth?
The market values Battalion Oil Corp at about $27.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $1.06; our models calculate a fair value of $1.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BATL?
Our models span a range for Battalion Oil Corp: cautious scenario $0.8441, base $1.12, optimistic $1.21 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $1.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Battalion Oil Corp (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity −29.4%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BATL from its 52-week high?
Battalion Oil Corp trades at $1.06, about 96% below its 52-week high of $27.68 and 1% above the low of $1.05 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Battalion Oil Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Battalion Oil Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $1.06, calculated fair value $1.12 (+6%), Quality Score 38/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BATL calculated?
We run Battalion Oil Corp through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Battalion Oil Corp currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $1.06. Our model-based fair value is $1.12, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Battalion Oil Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Battalion Oil Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
The market capitalisation of Battalion Oil Corp is $27.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Battalion Oil Corp is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Earnings per share at Battalion Oil Corp are $−5.61. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
The net margin of Battalion Oil Corp is 7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Battalion Oil Corp is −29.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Battalion Oil Corp is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
The operating margin of Battalion Oil Corp is −128% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Revenue at Battalion Oil Corp is growing −17.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Battalion Oil Corp (BATL)?
Earnings per share at Battalion Oil Corp are growing +713% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Battalion Oil Corp (BATL) generate?
The free cash flow of Battalion Oil Corp is −$35.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Battalion Oil Corp (BATL) carry?
The net debt of Battalion Oil Corp is $162M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 29, 2026