Baby Bunting Group (BBN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$175M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −11.7% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from A$0.9000 (bear) to A$1.50 (bull), base A$1.20. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.03 – A$6.17 · fair‑value band A$0.9000 – A$1.50 · the A$1.17 price screens below the A$1.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Baby Bunting Group (BBN) currently trades at A$1.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Baby Bunting Group generated revenue of A$539M at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at A$154M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.9000 (bear case) to A$1.50 (bull case); at A$1.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 3%, BBN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (A$3.55) versus Asset-Based (A$0.5600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Baby Bunting Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of maternity and baby goods in Australia and New Zealand. The company's principal products include prams, cots and nursery furniture, car safety, toys, babywear, feeding, nappies, Manchester, and associated accessories.
Full company description
Baby Bunting Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of maternity and baby goods in Australia and New Zealand. The company's principal products include prams, cots and nursery furniture, car safety, toys, babywear, feeding, nappies, Manchester, and associated accessories. It also provides car seat installation and hire services for nursery products, as well as operates retail stores and related online stores. In addition, the company offers car seat recycling, breast pump hire, store layby, and shopping consultation services. The company's products primarily cater to parents with children from newborn to three years of age, and parents-to-be. Baby Bunting Group Limited was founded in 1979 and is based in Dandenong, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Baby Bunting Group reported revenue of A$522M in FY2025 versus A$468M in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$9.5M in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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