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Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc $0.61, price $0.13, upside +378.4%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ISIN GB00B08F4599

BS Borders & Southern Petroleum plc logo Thin data Jun 25, 2026

Borders & Southern Petroleum plc

BDRSF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.6100 · Strongly undervalued (+378.4%)
!Quality 41/100
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$2.07 $0.0009 Fair Value $0.6100 Jul 2007 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0009 – $2.07 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $0.7600 · the $0.1275 price screens below the $0.6100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Company profile

Borders & Southern Petroleum plc operates as an independent oil and gas exploration company in the Falkland Islands. It is involved in the exploration and appraisal of hydrocarbons.

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Borders & Southern Petroleum plc operates as an independent oil and gas exploration company in the Falkland Islands. It is involved in the exploration and appraisal of hydrocarbons. The company holds 100% interest in three production licenses covering an area of approximately 10,000 square kilometers located approximately 150 kilometers south-east of the Falkland Islands. Borders & Southern Petroleum plc was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF) currently trades at $0.1275, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6100, implying the stock looks roughly 79.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.4600 (bear) to $0.7600 (bull), the price of $0.1275 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Borders & Southern Petroleum plc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$1.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $192M · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Free cash flow −$1.4M · Net cash $2.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 378%, BDRSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4600 Fair Value $0.6100 Bull $0.7600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2300 $0.3400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2300 $0.3400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $127.06 $91.42 −28%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.40 HK$39.91 +71%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.55 $52.31 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $137.76 $165.02 +20%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.84 $33.18 −43%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.73 $51.40 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.23 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.48 A$23.87 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.09 $55.10 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $336.46 $317.06 −6%

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Borders & Southern Petroleum plc · Fair Value
$0.6100 +79%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Borders & Southern Petroleum plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BDRSF

Frequently asked questions

Is Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6100 versus a price of $0.1275, about +378% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BDRSF?
Our model-based fair value for Borders & Southern Petroleum plc is $0.6100 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1275.
What is the quality score of BDRSF?
Borders & Southern Petroleum plc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6100 (as of Jun 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $0.7600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Borders & Southern Petroleum plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6100, about +378% upside versus a price of $0.1275 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $0.7600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Borders & Southern Petroleum plc it is $0.6100 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026), against a price of $0.1275. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Borders & Southern Petroleum plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 25, 2026, BDRSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1275, fair value $0.6100, a gap of about +378% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BDRSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1275); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6100). For Borders & Southern Petroleum plc the two are $0.4825 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Borders & Southern Petroleum plc worth?
The market values Borders & Southern Petroleum plc at about $192M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 25, 2026). Per share that is $0.1275; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BDRSF?
Our models span a range for Borders & Southern Petroleum plc: cautious scenario $0.4600, base $0.6100, optimistic $0.7600 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026, price $0.1275). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is BDRSF from its 52-week high?
Borders & Southern Petroleum plc trades at $0.1275, about 41% below its 52-week high of $0.2177 and 28% above the low of $0.1000 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Borders & Southern Petroleum plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Borders & Southern Petroleum plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 25, 2026: price $0.1275, calculated fair value $0.6100 (+378%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BDRSF calculated?
We run Borders & Southern Petroleum plc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Borders & Southern Petroleum plc currently trades 79 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $0.1275. Our model-based fair value is $0.6100, about +378% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Borders & Southern Petroleum plc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF)?
The market capitalisation of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc is $192M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF) generate?
The free cash flow of Borders & Southern Petroleum plc is −$1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Borders & Southern Petroleum plc (BDRSF) hold?
Borders & Southern Petroleum plc holds more cash than debt, $2.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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