BDT.TO (BDT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of BDT.TO C$17.97, price C$81.78, upside -78.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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BDT.TO
BDT · TOWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$5.10 – C$83.15 · fair‑value band C$13.38 – C$22.46 · the C$81.78 price screens above the C$17.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Bird Construction Inc. provides construction services in Canada. The company primarily focuses on projects in the industrial, building, and infrastructure markets.
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Bird Construction Inc. provides construction services in Canada. The company primarily focuses on projects in the industrial, building, and infrastructure markets. It constructs large, complex industrial buildings, including manufacturing, processing, distribution, and warehouse facilities; and provides electrical and instrumentation, high voltage testing and commissioning services, as well as power line construction, structural, mechanical, and piping, including off-site metal and modular fabrication. It also involved in the civil construction operations, such as site preparation and earthworks, underground piping, utilities and foundation, drilling, blasting, and other concrete services, as well as contract mining, mine support, and greenfield and brownfield hydroelectric facilities; steel modular construction; and civil infrastructure operations comprising road, bridge, rail, and underground utilities installation. In addition, the company constructs and retrofits institutional facilities, include healthcare, long term care, post-secondary education, transportation, public safety and defence facilities, as well as K-12 schools, public spaces, and government buildings; offers industrial maintenance, repair, and operations services; and constructs new construction and retrofit of warehousing, laboratories, manufacturing and processing facilities, data centers, office buildings, retail spaces, film studio infrastructure, hotels, and mixed-use mid- to high-rise residential buildings. Further, it offers electrical and related system services, such as electrical and mechanical infrastructure design and installation, data communications, telecommunications, security, and lifecycle services. It serves oil and gas, chemicals, liquefied natural gas, natural resources, nuclear, power, renewable energy, and water and wastewater sectors. Bird Construction Inc. was founded in 1920 and is based in Mississauga, Canada.
Stock analysis
BDT.TO (BDT) currently trades at C$81.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$17.97, implying the stock looks roughly 355.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$24.81 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$81.78 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$5.22, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$13.38 (bear) to C$22.46 (bull), the price of C$81.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
BDT.TO reported revenue of C$3.4B in FY2025 versus C$2.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$47.4M in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$4.5B (≈ $3.2B) · P/E ratio 90.9 · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) C$0.9000 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 233% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −78%, BDT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
BDT screens 355% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →
Compare BDT.TO with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Canadian Stocks
- Valuation of the Canada market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $634.90 | $163.08 | −74% |
| Vinci SA DG | €110.50 | €185.62 | +68% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,626 | $1,122 | −31% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,930 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $56.30 | $24.01 | −57% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 256,792 KRW | −30% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €397.00 | €203.87 | −49% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €92.75 | €75.04 | −19% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $751.80 | $521.87 | −31% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $217.52 | $106.05 | −51% |
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