Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Bidvest Group Ltd PK $34.76, price $26.79, upside +29.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.25 – $31.97 · fair‑value band $15.24 – $52.54 · the $26.79 price screens below the $34.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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The Bidvest Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in services, trading, and distribution businesses in South Africa and internationally.
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The Bidvest Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in services, trading, and distribution businesses in South Africa and internationally. The company operates through Adcock Ingram, Bidvest Automotive, Bidvest Commercial Products, Bidvest Freight, Bidvest Branded Products, Bidvest Services South Africa, Bidvest Services International, Bidvest Properties, and Bidvest Corporate and Investments segments. It offers manufacture, market, and distribution of healthcare products to both the private and public market sectors; and online motor retailing and develops systems in the vehicle auctioneering sector. The company also manufactures and trades bathroom and plumbing products; distributes electrical cable and allied products; and offers motor vehicle accessories, as well as camping and outdoor equipment. In addition, it provides freight management, terminal operations and support, international clearing and freight forwarding, integrated logistics, supply chain solutions and marine and insurance services; facilitates storage, handling, and movement of cargo via ocean freight, air freight, road, and rail. Further, the company supplies stationery, paper or printer cartridges, and packaging and data services; and offers consumer-facing trading and distribution businesses offering luggage and travel accessories representing local and global brands. Additionally, it provides security, laundry, landscaping, food, travel, cargo and aviation, office water and coffee vending services to corporate and small to medium business clients; hygiene, cleaning, and facilities management services; owns, manages, and develops properties; and provides professional property services and consulting on all property-related matters, as well as treasury, secretarial, corporate finance, and governance services. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Stock analysis
Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) currently trades at $26.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.76, implying the stock looks roughly 22.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $36.48 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $26.79 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.01, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $15.24 (bear) to $52.54 (bull), the price of $26.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bidvest Group Ltd PK reported revenue of 127B ZAR in FY2025 versus 88.3B ZAR in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was 6.1B ZAR in FY2025, compounding +12.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.0B · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $2.18 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 30%, BDVSY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $15.24Fair Value $34.76Bull $52.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ZAR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ZAR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.2% vs −6.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in ZAR, South Africa: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.0% a year for the price and +0.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (19 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 361 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+42.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.89× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.21× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bidvest Group Ltd PK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BDVSY
Frequently asked questions
Is Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.76 versus a price of $26.79, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BDVSY?
Our model-based fair value for Bidvest Group Ltd PK is $34.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.79.
What is the quality score of BDVSY?
Bidvest Group Ltd PK has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $34.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.24, optimistic scenario $52.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bidvest Group Ltd PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $34.76, about +30% upside versus a price of $26.79 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.24, optimistic scenario $52.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Bidvest Group Ltd PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 129B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Bidvest Group Ltd PK pay a dividend?
Bidvest Group Ltd PK currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bidvest Group Ltd PK would have to grow free cash flow by +18.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BDVSY use?
Our models discount Bidvest Group Ltd PK at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bidvest Group Ltd PK that is +18.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bidvest Group Ltd PK grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies +18.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bidvest Group Ltd PK (+18.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.61 %: that much free cash flow Bidvest Group Ltd PK produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bidvest Group Ltd PK it is $34.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $26.79. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bidvest Group Ltd PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BDVSY trades below its calculated fair value: price $26.79, fair value $34.76, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BDVSY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($34.76). For Bidvest Group Ltd PK the two are $7.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bidvest Group Ltd PK worth?
The market values Bidvest Group Ltd PK at about $5.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $26.79; our models calculate a fair value of $34.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BDVSY?
Our models span a range for Bidvest Group Ltd PK: cautious scenario $15.24, base $34.76, optimistic $52.54 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $26.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BDVSY?
Bidvest Group Ltd PK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $34.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 2.2, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
What is the PEG ratio of BDVSY?
The PEG ratio of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 0.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bidvest Group Ltd PK (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 15.4%, debt of 0.89 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BDVSY from its 52-week high?
Bidvest Group Ltd PK trades at $26.79, about 14% below its 52-week high of $31.00 and 10% above the low of $24.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $34.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bidvest Group Ltd PK?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bidvest Group Ltd PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $26.79, calculated fair value $34.76 (+30%), Quality Score 48/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BDVSY calculated?
We run Bidvest Group Ltd PK through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $34.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bidvest Group Ltd PK currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $26.79. Our model-based fair value is $34.76, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bidvest Group Ltd PK right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($15.24 to $52.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) come from?
Earnings per share at Bidvest Group Ltd PK grew −23.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −9.1 %, EBIT margin +6.4 %, tax rate −2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −18.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bidvest Group Ltd PK
How large is the market capitalisation of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The market capitalisation of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is $5.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Earnings per share at Bidvest Group Ltd PK are $2.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The dividend yield of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 3.8% (payout 47.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The net margin of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
The operating margin of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Revenue at Bidvest Group Ltd PK is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY)?
Earnings per share at Bidvest Group Ltd PK are growing +0.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bidvest Group Ltd PK (BDVSY) carry?
The net debt of Bidvest Group Ltd PK is 38.3B ZAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026