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Berner Kantonalbank AG (BEKN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 3.5B

BK Berner Kantonalbank AG BEKN · SW
PriceCHF 377.00
Fair ValueCHF 246.27
Upside-34.7%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 32.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.83% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 184.70 – CHF 307.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 307.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 413.08 CHF 163.12 Fair Value CHF 246.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 163.12 – CHF 413.08 · fair‑value band CHF 184.70 – CHF 307.84 · the CHF 377.00 price screens above the CHF 246.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Berner Kantonalbank AG (BEKN) currently trades at CHF 377.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 246.27, implying the stock looks roughly 34.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Berner Kantonalbank AG generated revenue of CHF 547M at a net margin of 32.0%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at CHF 9.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 184.70 (bear case) to CHF 307.84 (bull case); at CHF 377.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -35%, BEKN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income CHF 257.76 CHF 264.35 CHF 260.10 76
Gordon GGM CHF 91.97 CHF 132.14 CHF 172.51 70
P/E Multiple CHF 184.70 CHF 246.27 CHF 307.84 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 91.97 CHF 132.14 CHF 172.51 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 91.97 CHF 128.13 CHF 168.21 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 184.70 CHF 246.27 CHF 307.84 63
P/B Multiple CHF 241.53 CHF 322.05 CHF 402.56 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 166.48 CHF 223.09 CHF 332.97 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 257.76 CHF 264.35 CHF 260.10 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (CHF 264.35) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 128.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 547M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.8%
Net margin 32.0%
Return on equity 5.8%
Free cash flow CHF 401M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.9
More key figures
Operating margin 41.8%
EPS (TTM) CHF 18.38
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.3%
Net debt CHF 9.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Berner Kantonalbank AG provides banking products and services to private individuals and corporate customers in Switzerland. It offers savings and payment accounts; mortgages and financing products; business and investment loans; real estate and individual financing products; and retirement accounts.

Full company description

Berner Kantonalbank AG provides banking products and services to private individuals and corporate customers in Switzerland. It offers savings and payment accounts; mortgages and financing products; business and investment loans; real estate and individual financing products; and retirement accounts. The company also provides investment products and solutions; pension solutions; insurance and guarantees; capital goods leasing services; bank cards and credit cards; and asset management services, including strategy consulting, portfolio optimization and simulation, investment advisory, investment funds, and securities accounting services, as well as online banking services. In addition, it trades in stocks, bonds, derivatives, foreign exchange, and money market instruments. The company was formerly known as Kantonalbank von Bern and changed its name to Berner Kantonalbank AG in 1991. Berner Kantonalbank AG was founded in 1834 and is headquartered in Bern, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Berner Kantonalbank AG reported revenue of CHF 681M in FY2025 versus CHF 497M in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 175M in FY2025, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 681M
Latest YoY
−8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+3.0%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 CHF 497M
FY22 CHF 531M
FY23 CHF 532M
FY24 CHF 748M
FY25 CHF 681M
Net income +3.1%/yr
FY21 CHF 155M
FY22 CHF 160M
FY23 CHF 175M
FY24 CHF 181M
FY25 CHF 175M

BEKN screens 35% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berner Kantonalbank AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BEKN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.99× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.02× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 23 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Berner Kantonalbank AG (BEKN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 246.27 versus a price of CHF 377.00, about −35% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BEKN?
Our model-based fair value for Berner Kantonalbank AG is CHF 246.27 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 377.00.
What is the quality score of BEKN?
Berner Kantonalbank AG has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Berner Kantonalbank AG (BEKN)?
Berner Kantonalbank AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 547M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BEKN?
The net profit margin of Berner Kantonalbank AG is about 32.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Berner Kantonalbank AG pay a dividend?
Berner Kantonalbank AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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