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BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of BGR Energy Systems Limited ₹24.80, price ₹240, upside -89.7%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · IN · ISIN INE661I01014

BE Thin data Sep 13, 2026

BGR Energy Systems Limited

BGRENERGY · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹24.80 · Strongly overvalued (−89.7%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.4 %/yr)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/5)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

₹467.43 ₹34.80 Fair Value ₹24.80 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹34.80 – ₹467.43 · fair‑value band ₹23.03 – ₹27.44 · the ₹239.71 price screens above the ₹24.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

BGR Energy Systems Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells capital equipment for power plants, petrochemical and process industries, and refineries in India and internationally.

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BGR Energy Systems Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells capital equipment for power plants, petrochemical and process industries, and refineries in India and internationally. The company is involved in the provision of turnkey engineering, procurement, and construction services for power plants; and supply of sub and super critical steam turbines and generators, and single and multiple pressure level natural circulation heat recovery steam generators; and providing process coolers, finned tubes, radiator and compressors coolers, and tube bundles. It also offers turnkey solutions for EHV substations; optical fiber composite ground wire and optical line termination equipment; gas insulated switchgear substations; EHV transmission lines; plant electrical projects; and rural electrification, as well as power trading and balance of plant works for hydro projects. In addition, the company provides process equipment packages and systems, including phase separator system / skids, indirect water bath heater, gas conditioning, regulating and metering systems, knockout drums / scrubbers, and filter separators / dry gas filters; pipeline equipment; compressor packaging products; and storage tanks; deaerators, membrane based water treatment plant, membrane based desalination plants, effluent treatment and recycling plants, and condensate polishing units. In addition, it operates thermal power projects at Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, and Chhattishgarh. BGR Energy Systems Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Chennai, India.

Stock analysis

BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY) currently trades at ₹239.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹24.80, 89.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ₹23.03 (bear) to ₹27.44 (bull), the price of ₹239.71 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

BGR Energy Systems Limited reported revenue of ₹3.0B in FY2026 versus ₹12.2B in FY2022, a compound −29.6%/yr. Reported net income was −₹12.9B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹23.0B (≈ $238M) · P/S ratio 7.66 · EPS (TTM) ₹−178.51 · Return on equity −570% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0% · Operating margin −472% · Revenue (TTM) ₹3.0B · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −90%, BGRENERGY screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −21.2% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.9% (2021) → −198.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BGRENERGY screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −6.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −61.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €407.40 €203.86 −50%
EMCOR Group EME $769.03 $525.05 −32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.00 €62.20 −35%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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BGR Energy Systems Limited · Fair Value
₹24.80 −90%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BGR Energy Systems Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGRENERGY

Frequently asked questions

Is BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹24.80 versus a price of ₹239.71, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BGRENERGY?
Our model-based fair value for BGR Energy Systems Limited is ₹24.80 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹239.71.
What is the quality score of BGRENERGY?
BGR Energy Systems Limited has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹24.80 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹23.03, optimistic scenario ₹27.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BGR Energy Systems Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹24.80, about −90% upside versus a price of ₹239.71 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹23.03, optimistic scenario ₹27.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
BGR Energy Systems Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BGR Energy Systems Limited it is ₹24.80 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹239.71. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BGR Energy Systems Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, BGRENERGY trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹239.71, fair value ₹24.80, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BGRENERGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹239.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹24.80). For BGR Energy Systems Limited the two are ₹214.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BGR Energy Systems Limited worth?
The market values BGR Energy Systems Limited at about ₹23.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹239.71; our models calculate a fair value of ₹24.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BGRENERGY?
Our models span a range for BGR Energy Systems Limited: cautious scenario ₹23.03, base ₹24.80, optimistic ₹27.44 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹239.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for BGR Energy Systems Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BGRENERGY from its 52-week high?
BGR Energy Systems Limited trades at ₹239.71, about 49% below its 52-week high of ₹467.43 and 8% above the low of ₹221.15 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹24.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BGR Energy Systems Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BGR Energy Systems Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹239.71, calculated fair value ₹24.80 (−90%), Quality Score 27/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BGRENERGY calculated?
We run BGR Energy Systems Limited through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹24.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BGR Energy Systems Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹239.71. Our model-based fair value is ₹24.80, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BGR Energy Systems Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹27.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of BGR Energy Systems Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
The market capitalisation of BGR Energy Systems Limited is ₹23.0B (≈ $238M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BGR Energy Systems Limited is 7.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
Earnings per share at BGR Energy Systems Limited are ₹−178.51. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BGR Energy Systems Limited is −570% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BGR Energy Systems Limited is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
The operating margin of BGR Energy Systems Limited is −472% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
Revenue at BGR Energy Systems Limited is growing −61.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY)?
Earnings per share at BGR Energy Systems Limited are growing +203% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY) generate?
The free cash flow of BGR Energy Systems Limited is −₹306M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does BGR Energy Systems Limited (BGRENERGY) carry?
The net debt of BGR Energy Systems Limited is ₹44.9B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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