Bharat Gears Limited (BHARATGEAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹2.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹216.71 to ₹67.69 (−68.8%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −16.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹98.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹38.02 to ₹98.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹46.21 – ₹167.53 · fair‑value band ₹38.02 – ₹98.99 · the ₹103.62 price screens above the ₹67.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Bharat Gears Limited (BHARATGEAR) currently trades at ₹103.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹67.69, implying the stock looks roughly 34.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bharat Gears Limited generated revenue of ₹7.8B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at ₹652M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹38.02 (bear case) to ₹98.99 (bull case); at ₹103.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -35%, BHARATGEAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹236.46) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bharat Gears Limited manufactures and supplies automotive gear in India, the United States, Mexico, Spain, and internationally.
Full company description
Bharat Gears Limited manufactures and supplies automotive gear in India, the United States, Mexico, Spain, and internationally. The company offers gear products, such as ring gears, pinions, transmission gears, shafts, differential gears, and bevel gears; automotive components, including automotive clutch assemblies and components, turbochargers and related parts, driveline products, axle shafts, flywheel assemblies and rings, propeller shaft components, U-J Cross, steering components, differential cages, steel wheel rims, turbocharger core and rotor, ST. Bevel, ceramic button, and break lining; heat-treating furnaces; and precision machined components, shafts, fasteners, gears, castings, and forgings. It also provides single/multi-row pusher carburisng furnaces, rotary hearth furnaces, other heat-treating equipment and systems, and capabilities; and other heat-treating equipment and systems, such as conveyor mesh belt furnace lines, rotary retort furnaces, pusher furnaces for general applications, automation and handling systems, atmosphere systems, endothermic gas generators, and process control/ SCADA systems. It serves original equipment manufacturers, as well as the automotive, agriculture, construction, utilities, and EV segments. Bharat Gears Limited was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Bharat Gears Limited reported revenue of ₹7.8B in FY2026 versus ₹7.2B in FY2022, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹165M in FY2026, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2022.
BHARATGEAR screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 643 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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