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Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.5T (≈ $15.7B) · ISIN INE257A01026

What is Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited really worth?

BH Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL · BSE
Price₹433.35
Fair Value₹78.13
Upside−82.0%
Quality61/100

A solid business, but trading 455% above our fair value of ₹78.13.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited is ₹78.13 per share against a price of ₹433.35, so the fair value sits 82% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.3 %/yr)
generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range ₹58.60 – ₹97.66

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +5.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹97.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹435.40 ₹41.28 Fair Value ₹78.13 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹41.28 – ₹435.40 · fair‑value band ₹58.60 – ₹97.66 · the ₹433.35 price screens above the ₹78.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL) currently trades at ₹433.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹78.13, implying the stock looks roughly 454.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹156.12 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹433.35 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹34.74, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited generated revenue of ₹360B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 40.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at ₹65.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹58.60 (bear case) to ₹97.66 (bull case); at ₹433.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −82%, BHEL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹4.78 per share, which is 5.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹34.74 to ₹307.59). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹189.01 ₹307.59 ₹502.23 77
Residual Income ₹60.35 ₹62.79 ₹65.34 76
Growth DCF ₹192.05 ₹296.08 ₹455.60 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹189.01 ₹307.59 ₹502.23 77
Owner Earnings ₹50.87 ₹80.86 ₹130.07 72
5Y Revenue Exit ₹92.02 ₹124.56 ₹163.62 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹97.35 ₹134.71 ₹176.59 73
5Y P/E Exit ₹108.58 ₹156.12 ₹205.42 69
10Y Revenue Exit ₹122.36 ₹161.15 ₹209.83 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹127.22 ₹168.44 ₹220.14 67
10Y P/E Exit ₹134.60 ₹183.80 ₹243.06 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹31.25 ₹106.14 ₹142.34 64
Lynch FV ₹24.32 ₹34.74 ₹45.17 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹24.32 ₹34.74 ₹45.17 57
EPV ₹45.55 ₹52.86 ₹59.36 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹72.38 ₹96.51 ₹120.64 63
P/S Multiple ₹58.60 ₹78.13 ₹97.66 58
P/B Multiple ₹58.60 ₹78.13 ₹97.66 55
EV/EBIT ₹62.81 ₹82.38 ₹101.94 63
EV/EBITDA ₹57.85 ₹75.76 ₹93.66 64
EV/Revenue ₹46.01 ₹63.96 ₹81.92 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹37.54 ₹50.31 ₹75.09 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹192.05 ₹296.08 ₹455.60 75
Rev-Margin DCF ₹92.02 ₹126.92 ₹168.95 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹60.35 ₹62.79 ₹65.34 76
ROIC Compounder ₹45.55 ₹52.86 ₹59.36 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹61.74 ₹88.19 ₹114.65 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹156.12) versus Earnings-Based (₹34.74). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 61.8
P/S ratio 3.06 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹7.01 price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.8
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 7.3%
Net margin 4.9% FY2025
Return on equity 6.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹360B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.3% 3y avg +11.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +156%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹52.5B FY2025
Net debt ₹65.1B FY2025 · ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited operates as engineering and manufacturing company in India and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Power and Industry.

Full company description

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited operates as engineering and manufacturing company in India and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Power and Industry. It offers coal based, gas-based, nuclear, and hydro power plants, as well as solar power systems; transmission systems; defense and aerospace products; industrial systems; and energy storage system and e-mobility solutions. The company also provides steam generators and steam generator auxiliaries, soot blowers, valves, piping systems, seamless steel tubes, pressurized fluidized bed gasifiers, steam turbines, turbo generators, industrial sets, castings and forgings, condenser and heat exchangers, pumps, centrifugal compressors, solar photovoltaics, and automation and control systems. In addition, it offers software system solutions, medium voltage vacuum switchgears, on load tap changers, LT switchgears and bus ducts, transformers and reactors, capacitors, bushings, control gears, insulators and ceramics, and electrical machines. Further, the company provides rail transportation systems and equipment, oil field equipment, fabricated equipment and mechanical packages, and desalination and water treatment plants. It serves customers in power-thermal, transmission, transportation, renewables, water, oil and gas, defense and aerospace, hydro, gas, nuclear and solar PV, energy storage, electric mobility, petrochemicals, and other industries. The company was incorporated in 1964 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited reported revenue of ₹324B in FY2025 versus ₹212B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹16.0B in FY2025, compounding +37.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹324B
Latest YoY
+14.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +29.2% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in INR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+29.1%
Dividend yield0.1%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 29.1% vs 10Y 13.9%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−21.3% (2020) → 5.0% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop288% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in INR
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 235% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 ₹212B
FY22 ₹234B
FY23 ₹239B
FY24 ₹283B
FY25 ₹324B
Net income +37.6%/yr
FY21 ₹4.5B
FY22 ₹4.8B
FY23 ₹2.8B
FY24 ₹5.3B
FY25 ₹16.0B

BHEL screens 455% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHEL.BSE

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 40% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 51.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.12 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹78.13 versus a price of ₹433.35, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BHEL?
Our model-based fair value for Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited is ₹78.13 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹433.35.
What is the quality score of BHEL?
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹78.13 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹58.60, optimistic scenario ₹97.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹78.13, about −82% upside versus a price of ₹433.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹58.60, optimistic scenario ₹97.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL)?
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹360B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BHEL?
The net profit margin of Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited pay a dividend?
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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